• Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Wednesday Morning. .
  • It's Stephen Whiteside here from The .
  • UpTrend.com. Well, the market got off to a rough start on Tuesday. .
  • There were some things that moved higher, .
  • including the VIX, which is back on a buy signal as of Tuesday's close. .
  • We've got the US. .
  • Dollar index sitting right on the edge of a new daily buy signal. .
  • And then we've got gold moving higher on Tuesday. .
  • Making a new high for this move. .
  • Our mathematical target right now is 1843. .
  • 75. .
  • If we can take out yesterday's high, then .
  • 1875 is both our next daily and weekly price target. .
  • With the price of gold moving up, we had .
  • gold stocks moving up on both sides of the border. .
  • There's the GDX moving up. .
  • There's the Ishares for the TSX Global .
  • Gold Index making a new closing high for this move. .
  • Now, it ended last week on a sell signal, .
  • and you can see the nice gap open yesterday. .
  • So if you were about to sell on Tuesday .
  • morning and you looked at the opening bid and ask, you probably waved off that sell .
  • signal and just held your position through yesterday's trading activity. .
  • Now, Barrick, of course, the big player on .
  • the TSX made a new closing high for this move yesterday. .
  • And the only gold stock on the S&P 500 .
  • actually was the biggest winner on the S&P 500 yesterday. .
  • We see Newmont making a new closing high for this move. .
  • Our next mathematical target is $50. .
  • We're trading just above that in the pre market this morning. .
  • Of course, if you trade Newmont, you know .
  • we're coming up to the 200 day moving average. .
  • We're also coming up to an open gap from back in July. .
  • And so the top of that open gap was at. .
  • Unlike the major US .
  • Indices, the Canadian market was able to .
  • move higher yesterday on the back of rising gold prices. .
  • Looking at the Ishares for the TSX 60, we need to close on Wednesday above 29. .
  • 46. And we've got a nice open gap just above .
  • that level that could hold this market in check. .
  • Now, going in the opposite direction of .
  • gold was crude oil, which is down over 3% yesterday. .
  • It is down again in the pre market this .
  • morning and may end Wednesday on a sell signal, joining natural gas, which was .
  • down over 10% on Tuesday, making a new low for this move. .
  • And we saw a big sell off in energy stocks on both sides of the border. .
  • There's the Ishares for the TSX 60, making a new low for this move yesterday. .
  • Back on a sell signal as of Tuesday's close, also trading below the recent lows. .
  • So still projecting lower prices here. .
  • I saw some people talk about possible head and shoulders here. .
  • You've got the head up here. You've got a left shoulder. .
  • You've got a right shoulder. .
  • You take the distance from there to there. .
  • And that would take us back down to the .
  • lows from back in July if this head and shoulders pattern continues to unfold. .
  • Right now, we are still projecting lower prices here, down to the $14 level. .
  • We'll just have to see how that works out. .
  • Now, in the US. .
  • Energy stocks held up a little better. .
  • They have not broken down below the recent lows. .
  • We'll have to see if those lows continue to act as support. .
  • Now, the biggest losers that people are .
  • talking about on Wednesday morning are Apple and Tesla. .
  • There's a new low for Apple. .
  • Our next target to the downside, if we start breaking down below 125, is 118. .
  • 75. .
  • Now, Apple appears to move a lot slower .
  • than Tesla, and they are two completely different stocks. .
  • The average two range on Apple is 3.66% right now, and you can see how wide the .
  • flypaper channel is, which is currently acting as resistance. .
  • So any rally here, we would expect to get caught in the flypaper channel. .
  • Now, if you compare that to Tesla, first .
  • of all, the width of the flypaper channel is dramatically smaller. .
  • So, you know it's a much more nimble stock than Apple is. .
  • And you can see, mathematically speaking, .
  • the average true range is just under 10% at the moment. .
  • So being down over 12% on the day is a .
  • little more than the average true range at the moment. .
  • But it's not that unexpected to see that happen. .
  • So when we're looking at Tesla, our next mathematical target is 93, 75. .
  • Of course, the market is going to be looking to see if $100 can hold. .
  • That's a big round number, and it'll be very interesting, and it'll be very sad .
  • for the market if we start breaking down below $100. .
  • Okay, folks, that is all for Wednesday morning's presentation. .
  • Currently, the Dow is up about 44 points. .
  • We do have some economic numbers coming up .
  • this morning that could add to the pre market volatility, but so far, things are .
  • looking fairly quiet out there on Wednesday morning. .
  • Have a great day, folks. .
  • Next time you'll hear my voice is on Thursday morning. .
  • And at that time, we'll take a closer look at the Canadian stock market. .
  • Thank you. .