- Good morning, everyone. .
- Welcome to Friday morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside
here from theuptrend.com. .
- Well, in the premarket this
morning, things are fairly quiet. .
- We don't have any major economic
numbers coming up this morning. .
- Stock index futures and commodities are .
- above fair value, so we are looking for
some buying at the open on Friday morning. .
- Well, history was made on Thursday as the .
- S&P 500 put in a new high for 2023,
taking out the old high and heading .
- towards 421.88. If we can take that
out, then 429.69 comes into play. .
- Now, over the past five trading days, .
- there's been 206 new 52 week
highs on the S&P 500 or 42 %. .
- At the same time, 133 stocks or 27 %
of the S&P 500 has made 52 week lows. .
- Again, this is really all
about technology stocks. .
- Looking at technology stocks, you can see
the Nasdaq 100 also made a new high for .
- 2023 on Thursday, heading towards
343.75 on the triple Qs. .
- And if we can take that out,
then 359.38 comes into play. .
- Now, looking at the Nasdaq 100, it's
a little different than the S&P 500. .
- We've seen 56% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks
make new 52 week highs over the past week. .
- At the same time, only 17 % of the
Nasdaq 100 has made new 52 week lows. .
- Getting a bigger bang focusing on the
technology sector than the overall market. .
- Now, the chip stocks have done really well
this week and looking at the .
- SPDR Semicondactor ETF,
we're heading towards 200. .
- Then looking at Apple, Apple
actually hit 175 yesterday. .
- So ching, we finally got
to lock in some profits. .
- Apple has not broken away from 175 yet. .
- It closed at 175.05 yesterday. .
- So that is still resistance. .
- So we don't worry about the next
targets to the upside just yet. .
- Then Amazon is another stock I'm long and
we're trying to get to 118.75. Got as high .
- as 118.60 yesterday, so did
not lock in profits just yet. .
- A couple of ETFs people were
asking me about yesterday. .
- Cloud computing hit its next price target .
- of 17.58. It closed at 17.61. Then
autonomous vehicles, 23.44 was our target. .
- It closed at $23.42. The high of the day .
- was 23.46. So if you had an order in up
there, that got filled yesterday as well. .
- Now, ARK Innovation's ETF, it was pointed .
- out to me yesterday that yes, this ETF is
up 25.22 % year to date. .
- So that's quite incredible. .
- It's just behind the triple Qs,
which are up 26.66% year to date. .
- Now, we've been seeing lots of pops and
drops over the past couple of weeks, and .
- there's Netflix driving
up to the previous highs. .
- And so if you had an order in at 359.38 or
375, both of them got filled yesterday. .
- So congratulations. .
- Then looking at NVIDIA, NVIDIA hit 312.50,
actually got as high as 318.28 yesterday. .
- We have not broken away from 312.50 yet, .
- so the current price targets on the
daily charts have not expanded. .
- If we go to the weekly chart, you can see
this chart was published last weekend. .
- 312.50 was our next target,
so we know we've hit that. .
- Then above 312.50 is 343.75, and that's
where we topped out back in late 2021. .
- Then looking at Tesla, our next .
- mathematical target is 187.50. We
still have not broken away from 175. .
- The low of the day yesterday was
172.45, and then we've got that open gap. .
- So the high yesterday was 177.06,
the top of that open gap is .
- 177.65. So we'll see how the
market deals with that on Friday. .
- Now, looking at the VIX, the VIX is back .
- on a sell signal which is
supportive for higher stock prices. .
- You can see that on Friday we need
to close up there at above 1827. .
- Not expecting that to happen based on what .
- we're seeing in the
premarket this morning. .
- We're getting down to the
previous low at 1563. .
- If that breaks, then 12.50 would be our
next target to the downside, and that .
- would certainly be supportive
for higher stock prices. .
- Now, a lot of people ask why I don't .
- follow the VIX for the Nasdaq, why
I focus on the VIX for the S&P 500. .
- Well, you can see this is
a pretty spastic chart. .
- It's always been this way. .
- Sometimes when people see this chart on .
- the website, they email and say that,
Hey, do you know you've got bad data? .
- Well, no, that's just the way this works. .
- If you go to the CNBC website, this
is what it looks like this morning. .
- So our data is not bad. .
- It's just the way this particular index .
- looks and it's not something
that I like to follow. .
- It can be all over the place and I'd
rather stick to the VIX for the S&P 500. .
- Moving on to the Canadian market. .
- Yes, the technology index is doing well. .
- Remember, these are weighted. .
- The bigger the stock, the more
influence it has on the index. .
- So it doesn't mean that all stocks in this
particular index are up at these levels. .
- The rest of the Canadian
market is not doing as well. .
- The TSX is on a sell signal
right now, so is the TSX 60. .
- The reason for that, of course, is that .
- energy stocks have not
been doing well lately. .
- They could come back on Friday with
crude oil trading higher this morning. .
- Then we've got financials which are just .
- treading water, having
an inside day yesterday. .
- Then the price of gold has been coming
down this week and we see the gold stocks .
- made a new low yesterday and mining stocks
made a new low for this move as well. .
- So that's why the Canadian market is not .
- in sync with the US market
at the present time. .
- Now, looking at the Canadian tech stocks,
Absolute Software popped last week and .
- just another one of those
stocks that popped. .
- Congratulations if you owned that stock, I .
- wouldn't be sitting around doing
anything I would have sold by now. .
- It's probably not going to go anywhere
from here, so no reason to hang around. .
- Then BlackBerry made a
new high for this move. .
- The price targets for BlackBerry have
started to expand as the stock has started .
- to trade and continue to
hold up in a new level. .
- Remember, the previous price targets were .
- based on this range, this high to
this low and then to this high. .
- So you had price targets based on that .
- price action, and then we
started to break out above that. .
- So 7.42 was our next price target, got
as high as 7.44 yesterday on the TSX. .
- Then looking at CGI, we
made a new high yesterday. .
- Then looking at Lightspeed, here's
another stock that popped and dropped. .
- You can see the nice move up. .
- We made a new high for this move and
then came right back down the next day. .
- So unfortunately, that's been happening a .
- lot and that's just the mood that
the market is in at the moment. .
- Not much you can do about it. .
- Nuvei made a new low for
this move yesterday. .
- Another stock that generated a buy signal. .
- You came in the next morning, saw that
it was going to open way down here. .
- So you didn't take the buy signal. .
- And I have no idea why it dropped so much .
- right after Ryan Reynolds started
promoting this particular company. .
- Open Text made a new closing
high yesterday for this move. .
- Another stock that made a new low
here for this particular move. .
- And then the next morning it just popped
higher and has not pulled back since. .
- Then Shopify, we talked about this one. .
- It generated a sell signal. .
- You came in the next morning and saw that
it was going to open up way up here. .
- And so you waived off that sell signal
and we're still on a buy signal. .
- Things would change for Shopify on Friday .
- with a close below 79.40. Then looking at
Telus International, it is in the InfoTech .
- Index and it made a new low on
Thursday for this particular move. .
- Okay, folks, that is all for
Friday morning's presentation. .
- So far it looks like we're going to see
some buying at the open on Friday morning. .
- Have a great day.
Have a great weekend. .
- It's a long weekend here. .
- The Canadian markets will
be closed on Monday. .
- Us markets will be open. .
- We will do a video over
the weekend. you. out.. .