- Hello, everyone, it's stephen Whiteside
here from theuptrend.com with this .
- weekend's edition of stock
market timing television. .
- Well the market had a pretty good week. .
- It digested the Fed announcement
and continued to move higher. .
- It is certainly out of sync with the .
- seasonality charts and
we use these as a guide. .
- You don't use them to actually trade
place trades in the market. .
- It just using a seasonality
chart right now. .
- The seasonality chart tells us we should .
- be making seasonal lows and that is
certainly not the case at the moment. .
- Now we did have a bearish reversal day on .
- Friday for a lot of areas of the
market, but it wasn't a major sell off. .
- So we did see some profit taking
that could be the catalyst for more .
- selling this week, but we don't have
any evidence of that right now. .
- It is still the technology sector leading
the market higher and tech stocks are back .
- up at highs that we haven't
seen since late 2021. .
- So we are up at major resistance right now .
- and it'll be interesting to see how the
market deals with that going forward. .
- Chip stocks are still leading the way
up nearly three and a half percent. .
- AI stocks were up nearly four
and a half percent on the week. .
- Now looking at the VIX of the Fear Index, .
- we made a new closing low on Friday, so
we're going to remain long term bullish on .
- the market as long as the VIX does not
close above $19.29 this coming Friday. .
- If you're trading the market on Monday, we
would remain bullish on the market as long .
- as the VIX does not close
above $15.14 on Monday. .
- Looking at the Canadian market,
the TSX had an inside week. .
- It closed higher but still
on a weekly sell signal. .
- We saw financial stocks, we saw bank .
- stocks both move up but
still on sell signals. .
- Then we saw the energy sector close down a .
- little over 2%, so still
treading water here. .
- And then we had gold stocks
down .88% on the week. .
- So yeah the financials were higher, but
we saw commodity stocks trade lower. .
- Then looking at the Nasdaq, new high for .
- the Nasdaq, we're trading
up to the 375 level. .
- If you look to the left you can see the .
- Nasdaq started to fade just below
that level back in early 2022. .
- And then looking at the SPY, we're up .
- 2.22% on the week, starting
to trade above the 375 level. .
- 453.13 is our next target to the upside. .
- We did trade above that level back in the .
- spring of 2022, but that's
where we topped out. .
- So we'll have to see how the S&P
500 deals with this going forward. .
- Then looking at the Dow, the Dow .
- unfortunately is still stuck at
resistance, which it's been dealing with .
- for basically over a year
now, up at the 343.75 level. .
- So we're looking to see if we can take
out the high from back in late 2022. .
- That'll be interesting
to see if that happens. .
- Regional banks pulled back this week, not
a lot, but we had a couple of good up .
- weeks for US regional banks and we still
are waiting for a weekly buy signal. .
- Then looking at mid cap, small cap stocks, .
- they still traded higher, but
there's not a lot of enthusiasm. .
- We did have a couple of really good weeks
and then things started to fade this week .
- and that's probably not a good
sign for the market going forward. .
- Then looking at the Canadian market, mid
caps, small caps and micro caps are all .
- still on weekly sell signals,
so no change in there. .
- Obviously there's a big difference
between the Canadian and US markets. .
- A lot more technology stocks in the US, a .
- lot more resource stocks
in the Canadian market. .
- Now looking at those big cap stocks, .
- you've got Apple making new highs this
week, you've got Meta making new highs up .
- over 6%, you've got Microsoft up nearly
5%, you've got Nvidia up over 10%. .
- Then you've got Tesla continuing to move .
- higher up 6.6%, filling that open
gap and trading above the 250 level. .
- So 281.25 would be our next
profit target for Tesla. .
- Let's finish off with commodities. .
- We saw copper trade up into the channel, .
- so there's a possibility of a
buy signal for copper this week. .
- No joy for gold, no joy for
silver, both had inside weeks. .
- We also had an inside week for palladium,
and then platinum made a new low for this .
- move, so no change in trends
for any of the metals. .
- And then looking at the energy sector, we .
- saw crude oil make a reversal this
week, it closed in the channel. .
- So looking for a close this coming Friday .
- on the USO above 66.69
to give us a buy signal. .
- Gasoline. .
- Unfortunately, it's on its second week of
a buy signal and that's not something you .
- want to see going into the
summer driving season. .
- And then last up, we've got natural gas up .
- 15.59% on the week, still
on a weekly sell signal. .
- That would change this coming Friday if we .
- closed above $7.24. Okay folks, that is
all for this weekend's presentation. .
- Enjoy the rest of your weekend. .
- Next time you'll hear my
voice is on Tuesday morning. .