- Good morning everyone.
Welcome to Friday morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside here from the .
- uptrend.com in the pre market this
morning, stock index futures are above .
- fair value, once again being
led higher by the Nasdaq. .
- Commodities are mixed while
the energies are higher. .
- Gold is lower on Friday morning.
Well, here we are. .
- We finally arrived to month end, quarter .
- end, and of course we've
got the holidays next week. .
- And that of course put a
bullish spin on the market. .
- And of course, it doesn't
guarantee success. .
- It certainly helps alleviate any
downward pressure on the market. .
- If there is bad news that the market wants
to take as bad news, remember, just .
- because there's good news
doesn't mean the market goes up. .
- And there's no guarantee that with
bad news the market goes down. .
- Now, the VIX is still on a sell signal
that's supportive for higher stock prices. .
- Looking for a breakout above
14.33 to change things on Friday. .
- So far, it does not look
like that's going to happen. .
- Now, I often take a look at the VIX ETFs .
- just to make sure that nobody's
trying to front run the market. .
- Sometimes what you'll see is ETF traders
can go in and buy the VIX ahead of the VIX .
- moving higher and the
markets moving lower. .
- We're not seeing anything like that
on coming into Friday morning. .
- Now, the Dow diamonds ended
Thursday on a buy signal. .
- They have an open gap just above them
there that could act as resistance. .
- Similar situation for the S&P
500 is back on a buy signal. .
- The volume, which of course coming into a
holiday week is going to start to fall. .
- Yesterday, the volume for the S&P 500
ETF was down 25% off its average volume. .
- So you can see that traders are starting .
- to leave for a holiday week and we
expect next week to be extremely quiet. .
- Now the Nasdaq is not
back on a buy signal. .
- So far, the biggest loser yesterday
on the Nasdaq 100 was Micron. .
- At the same time we saw chips move higher. .
- So Micron moving against
the pack on Thursday. .
- Then the iShares .
- for the TSx 60 are on the second day
of a buy signal. .
- We're seeing money come back into the
financials and the energy sector. .
- We saw some money come back into
gold yesterday with Kinross. .
- There's been a lot of love for Kinross .
- lately, even though it's
been on a sell signal. .
- This certainly hasn't fallen as much as a .
- lot of the other gold
stocks such as Barrick. .
- Barrick is sitting right on the
edge of a new daily buy signal. .
- So any higher close on Friday
would give us a buy signal. .
- We do have gold trading
lower in the pre market. .
- That's no guarantee that gold stocks
are going to trade lower on Friday. .
- Now, until the big cap tech stocks start .
- to break down, the market is going to
continue to have a bullish bias to it. .
- And so there's Apple making a new high
yesterday we saw Amazon pull back so a .
- close below 126.04 would give
us a sell signal on Friday. .
- We still have Microsoft on
a short term sell signal. .
- Of course, longer term money has
not exited Microsoft just yet. .
- We have Nvidia on a
short term sell signal. .
- Yesterday was inside day and did
trade slightly lower on the day. .
- Less than 1%. .
- Nvidia is still on a midterm buy signal. .
- So more conservative money has
not exited Nvidia just yet. .
- And we still have Tesla on a sell signal. .
- From what we were seeing in the pre market .
- yesterday, I thought Tesla would
end the day on a buy signal. .
- That did not happen. .
- When it started to come down it did give .
- us a midterm sell signal
which is still in play. .
- That has not changed. .
- So some longer term
money has exited Tesla. .
- We do have a nice uptrend line there and .
- if that breaks then we would look
for a move down to $200 for Tesla. .
- Let's finish off with a quick look at .
- commodities and no trend changes
from Thursday's trading action. .
- Yes, crude oil traded higher, gasoline
traded higher and natural gas traded .
- higher and that's one of the reasons
energy stocks moved up on Thursday. .
- No joy for the GLD. .
- It came off its intraday lows and
closed slightly lower on the day. .
- Inside day for palladium. .
- A lower new low for platinum on Thursday. .
- And we saw a small pullback for the price
of silver holding the low from last week. .
- Okay folks, that is all
for Friday's presentation. .
- Not expecting a lot to happen on Thursday. .
- Have a great Canada Day long weekend and
if you're in the US, of course you're .
- probably going to make this weekend into a
long weekend anyways, so have a great .
- time, be safe and next time you'll hear my
voice is sometime over the long weekend. .
- I haven't been given my weekend scheduled .
- yet so I don't know exactly when I'm going
to be back in front of the computer. .