- Good morning, everyone, and
welcome to Tuesday Morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside here from the
uptrend.com. In the pre market this .
- morning, stock index futures
are slightly above fair value. .
- It should be a fairly quiet day. .
- This is the first day of the two day Fed .
- meeting and we expect volatility to
expand dramatically after 02:00 P.m. .
- Wednesday afternoon. .
- Now, the VIX traded up to the upper .
- channel line yesterday, but
closed near the low of the day. .
- Looking for a close on Tuesday above .
- $14.61. The Dow closed up by a penny
yesterday and still on a buy signal here, .
- while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100
are still on sell signals. .
- Now, this really is a tale of two markets .
- as the US market is trying to
hold on to the summer lows. .
- We can see that in the Ishares for the
Russell 2000, but that is not true for the .
- Ishares for the micro cap sector that has
already broken through the summer lows. .
- Trying to find support
back at the lows from May. .
- Then looking at semiconductors, you can .
- see we're barely holding on
to the August lows here. .
- That is also true for the regional banks
and banks themselves, while the retail .
- stocks are starting to slip
below the August lows. .
- Then looking at the Canadian market, we're .
- trying to punch through the summer highs
and so far we're stuck at resistance. .
- That's also true for the TSX 60. .
- So we saw pullbacks in
both of those yesterday. .
- We saw a pullback in mid
cap and small cap stocks. .
- And as you can easily see here, we
put in a lower high, a lower high. .
- And now we're going to see if
we start to put in lower lows. .
- That would be bearish. .
- And the venture exchange, which is on a .
- buy signal since last Thursday, was
up slightly on the day on Monday. .
- Then looking at what didn't work yesterday
on the TSX, it was the infotech sector .
- rolled over and it was
led lower by Shopify. .
- So Shopify had a nice pop. .
- We were buyers there. .
- We sold half our position here, another
half here, and now we're left with the .
- remaining position and we're going to get
kicked out today at the open and we're .
- still going to get kicked out
with a profit on this trade. .
- Next up, let's take a
look at commodity prices. .
- And we've got one trend change
from Monday's trading action. .
- The USO made a new high yesterday. .
- We saw gasoline pull back
for the second day in a row. .
- Still on a buy signal here. .
- We had natural gas move up yesterday. .
- Still on a buy signal. .
- No change there. .
- Now we have the GLD back on a
buy signal as of Monday's close. .
- Joining Palladium and Platinum already on
buy signals, still waiting for Silver. .
- And you can see there's a nice gap just
above us that could hold us in check. .
- Otherwise we're looking for a
close for the SLV above 21. .
- 41 on Tuesday to give us a buy signal. .
- And then Copper pulled back yesterday. .
- Copper is still on a sell signal. .
- No change there. .
- Moving on, let's take a look at the TSX
most active, starting with the TC Energy, .
- which had a bearish
reversal day yesterday. .
- Then we had an inside day for Suncor. .
- Then Canadian Natural Resources. .
- Still on a sell signal here. .
- Looking for a close on Tuesday above 87. .
- 61. .
- Then looking at manual. .
- Life Manulife had an inside day. .
- We're stuck at Resistance at
26.17. Our next target is 26. .
- 56. .
- And if you go to the weekly chart, you can
see that that is also a weekly target. .
- And that is where we peaked
back at the start of 2023. .
- Then looking at the TD Bank, a small
pullback there, trying to get over 84. .
- 38. .
- Then looking at CIBC, we're trying to
break out above the high from late August. .
- So far, we've been unable to do that. .
- Then Denison Mines made a
new closing high yesterday. .
- Then Tilray had a big pullback. .
- You'll also see that in the US.
Market. .
- And then we've got Air Canada making
a new low for this move on Monday. .
- Let's finish off today's presentation. .
- Looking at the most actively traded US. .
- Stocks, starting with Tesla. .
- Tesla traded back into
the Channel yesterday. .
- A close below $258.08 would give
us a sell signal on Tuesday. .
- Apple moved up yesterday. .
- We've got a nice open gap there
on our way to a buy signal. .
- We are looking for a close on Tuesday .
- above $180.39. Tilray rolled over
yesterday, just like on the TSX. .
- So we're back on a sell
signal as of Monday's close. .
- Advanced Micro Devices bouncing off the .
- August lows, closing
slightly higher on the day. .
- No change in trend. .
- No change in trend for Nvidia, which
closed up $0.66 yesterday, making a big .
- reversal day, but not closing
above the previous day's high. .
- Then looking at Ford back in the Channel, .
- looking for a close below $12.20 on
Tuesday to give us a sell signal. .
- For Amazon,
we would need a close below 138. .
- 34. .
- Then we've got Marathon closing
just down $0.01 on the day. .
- No change in trend there. .
- Then Palantir still treading water here. .
- Looking for a close
below $15.11 on Tuesday. .
- And then a big reversal. .
- Big loser on the Dow on
Monday was American Express. .
- Looking for a close on Tuesday below 158. .
- 61. .
- Then we saw a new low for Boeing. .
- And we saw a new low for
this move for Home Depot. .
- Starting to break down
below the August lows. .
- Okay, folks, that is all for
this morning's presentation. .
- Not looking for a lot of
excitement on Tuesday. .
- Of course, the excitement will all begin
after 02:00 P.m. Wednesday afternoon. .
- Have a great day. .
- Next time you'll hear my voice
is on Wednesday morning. .