• It's. Good morning, everyone. .
  • Welcome to Friday morning. .
  • It's Stephen Whiteside here from TheUpTrend.com In the pre market this .
  • morning, stock index futures are down across the board. .
  • Dow futures currently down about 200 points. .
  • So we're definitely looking at some selling this morning. .
  • Now, if things turn around, some of these .
  • technology charts could give buy signals, but probably not on Friday. .
  • Now, the reason we're looking at the .
  • technology sector this morning is we may have put in a bottom. .
  • Looking at the Canadian technology sector, .
  • you can see that the index has held the August lows, unlike the Nasdaq 100, which .
  • has dipped through the August lows, but hit our next price target and bounced. .
  • And now we're up to the previous price target at the 359.38 level. .
  • Coming into Friday's trading action. .
  • We've had a couple of quiet days, we've had a couple of inside days, and now we're .
  • looking to see if we can take out the upper channel line on Friday. .
  • You can see that we have traded into the open gap. .
  • We haven't filled it yet, so that is still a potential area of resistance. .
  • So looking for a close on Friday above 360 213. .
  • Now, year to date, the Nasdaq 100 is up nearly 35%. .
  • And right now we're using the bottom of the Fly Paper channel as support. .
  • You can see we're nicely oversold down here. .
  • So this is the time and place where we could see a rally. .
  • Now compare the Nasdaq 100 to the Russell 2000. .
  • We're nowhere near a buy signal coming into Friday's trading action, well below .
  • the Fly Paper channel, and we're down nearly 2% on the year. .
  • So when you take away those seven big cap .
  • tech stocks, the rest of the market has not performed at all in 2023. .
  • Now, what hasn't worked? .
  • Well, the biggest loser has been the .
  • regional banks in the US , Down over 30% year to date. .
  • Now. I always look at the VIX. .
  • It's the first thing I look at every day to see what the options traders are doing. .
  • And they're still on a buy signal right now. .
  • That would change on Friday if the VIX were to close below $16.75. .
  • Now, there is a VIX for the Nasdaq, and I don't look at it that often because it .
  • does this a lot, and that's not really that useful. .
  • But right now we're in an uptrend looking .
  • very similar to the VIX for the S and P 500. .
  • Things would change on Friday if the VIX for the Nasdaq were to close below $21.25. .
  • Now, looking at those big cap tech stocks, we have four out of the seven back on buy .
  • signals right now, including Alphabet, but not Amazon. .
  • For Amazon, we're still trading below the lower channel line. .
  • And then Apple is back on a buy signal as .
  • of Thursday's close, joining Meta already on a buy signal for Microsoft, we're .
  • looking for a close above $320.83 on Friday. .
  • We do have Nvidia on a buy signal right now. .
  • We also have Tesla on a buy signal. .
  • So four out of the seven big cap tech .
  • stocks are now back on buy signals, and that is a majority. .
  • Now seeing four out of the top seven .
  • technology stocks with buy signals is not enough to get things started. .
  • We need the technology ETFs to start .
  • showing some buy signals, and so far, that is not the case. .
  • Starting off with semiconductors, it looks like we're finding a base here, but we .
  • haven't seen enough upward momentum to give us a buy signal just yet. .
  • Looking at robotics, no change there. .
  • No change for XT. .
  • Then we've got cloud computing making a new low yesterday. .
  • We've got autonomous vehicles with an inside day on Thursday. .
  • Then looking at cybersecurity, no change in trend there. .
  • Then Mobile Payments, had a fairly quiet day. .
  • Looking at robotics, no change there. .
  • And then looking at the SPDR Technology .
  • ETF, looking very much like the Nasdaq 100 trading up into the channel for the past .
  • few days, but not enough to give us a buy signal. .
  • We're still looking for a close above 166 on Friday to give us a buy signal. .
  • And you can see that that open gap is .
  • currently acting as resistance, and it looks like it has now been filled. .
  • Taking a look at the Ark Invest ETFs, no change there for any of these ETFs. .
  • There's Genomics making a new low on Thursday. .
  • The innovation ETF, no change there. .
  • Fairly quiet trading for the Industrial. .
  • And then Space and Internet, no change for either of those. .
  • So we've got all the major technology ETFs .
  • still on sell signals, so no change coming into Friday's trading action. .
  • Let's finish off with a look at a couple of the tech stocks. .
  • I follow closely. .
  • There's Advanced Micro Devices on a buy signal right now. .
  • BlackBerry, huge down day for BlackBerry on Thursday. .
  • This looked kind of weird. .
  • We went up, we gapped down, we came up, .
  • filled the open gap, and then came right back down. .
  • I kind of thought that this was kind of strange to see this big price movement. .
  • Then the gap filled, and then we retreated once again. .
  • So BlackBerry making a new low on Thursday. .
  • Then Salesforce, still on a sell signal, no change there. .
  • No change for Cisco, no change for DocuSign. .
  • And then we've got intel has traded above .
  • the upper channel line for the past couple of days, but has not closed above it. .
  • So on Friday, we're looking for a close .
  • above $35.98. Then looking at Lightspeed, no change there. .
  • No change for Netflix, no change for PayPal. .
  • Then looking at Roku. .
  • We've been in the channel all week, and .
  • now we're looking for a close above 71 .65 on Friday to give us a buy signal. .
  • And last up this morning, shopify on the .
  • TSX, we're looking for a close on Friday above $74. .
  • 09. .
  • Okay, folks, that is all for this morning's presentation. .
  • Looks like we're going to see some selling at the open on Friday morning. .
  • Have a great day. .
  • Next time you'll hear my voice is on .
  • Monday morning, Canadian markets will be closed. .
  • On Monday. US. .
  • Markets will be open. .