- It's.
Good morning, everyone. .
- Welcome to Friday morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside here from
TheUpTrend.com In the pre market this .
- morning, stock index futures
are down across the board. .
- Dow futures currently
down about 200 points. .
- So we're definitely looking
at some selling this morning. .
- Now, if things turn around, some of these .
- technology charts could give buy
signals, but probably not on Friday. .
- Now, the reason we're looking at the .
- technology sector this morning
is we may have put in a bottom. .
- Looking at the Canadian technology sector, .
- you can see that the index has held the
August lows, unlike the Nasdaq 100, which .
- has dipped through the August lows, but
hit our next price target and bounced. .
- And now we're up to the previous
price target at the 359.38 level. .
- Coming into Friday's trading action. .
- We've had a couple of quiet days, we've
had a couple of inside days, and now we're .
- looking to see if we can take out
the upper channel line on Friday. .
- You can see that we have
traded into the open gap. .
- We haven't filled it yet, so that is
still a potential area of resistance. .
- So looking for a close
on Friday above 360 213. .
- Now, year to date, the
Nasdaq 100 is up nearly 35%. .
- And right now we're using the bottom
of the Fly Paper channel as support. .
- You can see we're nicely
oversold down here. .
- So this is the time and place
where we could see a rally. .
- Now compare the Nasdaq
100 to the Russell 2000. .
- We're nowhere near a buy signal coming
into Friday's trading action, well below .
- the Fly Paper channel, and we're
down nearly 2% on the year. .
- So when you take away those seven big cap .
- tech stocks, the rest of the market
has not performed at all in 2023. .
- Now, what hasn't worked? .
- Well, the biggest loser has been the .
- regional banks in the US
, Down over 30% year to date. .
- Now.
I always look at the VIX. .
- It's the first thing I look at every day
to see what the options traders are doing. .
- And they're still on a
buy signal right now. .
- That would change on Friday if the
VIX were to close below $16.75. .
- Now, there is a VIX for the Nasdaq, and I
don't look at it that often because it .
- does this a lot, and that's
not really that useful. .
- But right now we're in an uptrend looking .
- very similar to the VIX
for the S and P 500. .
- Things would change on Friday if the VIX
for the Nasdaq were to close below $21.25. .
- Now, looking at those big cap tech stocks,
we have four out of the seven back on buy .
- signals right now, including
Alphabet, but not Amazon. .
- For Amazon, we're still trading
below the lower channel line. .
- And then Apple is back on a buy signal as .
- of Thursday's close, joining Meta already
on a buy signal for Microsoft, we're .
- looking for a close
above $320.83 on Friday. .
- We do have Nvidia on a
buy signal right now. .
- We also have Tesla on a buy signal. .
- So four out of the seven big cap tech .
- stocks are now back on buy
signals, and that is a majority. .
- Now seeing four out of the top seven .
- technology stocks with buy signals
is not enough to get things started. .
- We need the technology ETFs to start .
- showing some buy signals, and
so far, that is not the case. .
- Starting off with semiconductors, it looks
like we're finding a base here, but we .
- haven't seen enough upward momentum
to give us a buy signal just yet. .
- Looking at robotics, no change there. .
- No change for XT. .
- Then we've got cloud computing
making a new low yesterday. .
- We've got autonomous vehicles
with an inside day on Thursday. .
- Then looking at cybersecurity,
no change in trend there. .
- Then Mobile Payments,
had a fairly quiet day. .
- Looking at robotics, no change there. .
- And then looking at the SPDR Technology .
- ETF, looking very much like the Nasdaq 100
trading up into the channel for the past .
- few days, but not enough
to give us a buy signal. .
- We're still looking for a close above
166 on Friday to give us a buy signal. .
- And you can see that that open gap is .
- currently acting as resistance, and
it looks like it has now been filled. .
- Taking a look at the Ark Invest ETFs,
no change there for any of these ETFs. .
- There's Genomics making
a new low on Thursday. .
- The innovation ETF, no change there. .
- Fairly quiet trading for the Industrial. .
- And then Space and Internet,
no change for either of those. .
- So we've got all the major technology ETFs .
- still on sell signals, so no change
coming into Friday's trading action. .
- Let's finish off with a look at
a couple of the tech stocks. .
- I follow closely. .
- There's Advanced Micro Devices
on a buy signal right now. .
- BlackBerry, huge down day
for BlackBerry on Thursday. .
- This looked kind of weird. .
- We went up, we gapped down, we came up, .
- filled the open gap, and
then came right back down. .
- I kind of thought that this was kind of
strange to see this big price movement. .
- Then the gap filled, and then
we retreated once again. .
- So BlackBerry making a
new low on Thursday. .
- Then Salesforce, still on a
sell signal, no change there. .
- No change for Cisco, no
change for DocuSign. .
- And then we've got intel has traded above .
- the upper channel line for the past couple
of days, but has not closed above it. .
- So on Friday, we're looking for a close .
- above $35.98. Then looking at
Lightspeed, no change there. .
- No change for Netflix,
no change for PayPal. .
- Then looking at Roku. .
- We've been in the channel all week, and .
- now we're looking for a close above 71
.65 on Friday to give us a buy signal. .
- And last up this morning, shopify on the .
- TSX, we're looking for a
close on Friday above $74. .
- 09. .
- Okay, folks, that is all for
this morning's presentation. .
- Looks like we're going to see some
selling at the open on Friday morning. .
- Have a great day. .
- Next time you'll hear my voice is on .
- Monday morning, Canadian
markets will be closed. .
- On Monday.
US. .
- Markets will be open. .