• good morning everyone and welcome to Tuesday Morning. .
  • It's Stephen Whiteside here from TheUpTrend.com In the pre market this .
  • morning, stock index futures are trading slightly below fair value. .
  • Commodities are mixed. .
  • We are coming up to some economic numbers at 8:30 this morning and then at 10:00 and .
  • of course those numbers could add to market volatility. .
  • Now yesterday was an inside day for a lot of areas of the market. .
  • The VIX had an inside day. .
  • So on Tuesday we're looking for a close .
  • below 1675 to give us a new sell signal that of course would be supportive for .
  • higher stock prices in the Canadian market. .
  • The Ishares for the TSX 60 had an inside day. .
  • We had an inside day for the Nasdaq, 100 for Semiconductors. .
  • We did not have an inside day for the Dow or the S&P 500. .
  • Unable to take out the high from two days ago. .
  • Trading up into the gap 437.50 is current. .
  • Resistance support is at 429 .69. Is resistance holding? .
  • Well, over the past couple of days we've .
  • run up three times and we've been unable to take out that area of resistance. .
  • As high as we got was 437.34. Now just .
  • above that resistance is the top of the open gap at 438.43. So that's going to be .
  • a very important number to watch to see what the market does if it goes up .
  • and fills that gap at this particular time. .
  • If we can take out that gap then 445.31 comes into play. .
  • Now looking at gold miners this morning .
  • and the price of gold back on the 11th of the month we generated a buy signal for .
  • gold at that time, our next price target was 1937.50. And what do you know? .
  • Well we've run up to that level and stopped and so now we're looking to see if .
  • we can break out and retest the highs from back in September on our way to $2,000. .
  • Unfortunately we're stuck at the moving average convergence here and yesterday we .
  • traded between the 51 hundred day moving average with the 200 day just above us. .
  • So that is going to be a big ask to get .
  • the market to start trading above those levels. .
  • We'll just have to wait and see. .
  • Looking at the GDX and looking at the .
  • Panic Zone chart, you can see we are certainly projecting higher prices right .
  • now, but the GDX has been a series of lower highs and lower lows. .
  • Right now we are looking to see if we can .
  • retest the high from September and to do that we're going to have to get up to our .
  • next price target of 29.69. Unfortunately the pros have not taken control so far, .
  • even though we've been on a buy signal for a few days now. .
  • Looking north of the border, looking at .
  • the XGD, this chart is looking very similar. .
  • It is a different mix of international, Canadian and international gold companies. .
  • You can see we've traded up and getting .
  • pretty close to those September highs and the pros are starting to take control. .
  • So we have hit our next price target of .
  • 17.19. So congratulations, you got to lock in some profits. .
  • Our next target, of course, is going to be the high from late August and into .
  • September, and that's up at the 17.54, I think 17.57 level. .
  • If we can take that out, then of course 17.97 would come into play. .
  • Next up, let's take a look at the energy sector, and crude oil generated a buy .
  • signal on Friday, small pullback on Monday. .
  • It is trading higher in the pre market this morning. .
  • Unlike gold, which is seeing the moving .
  • averages act as resistance, crude oil is using them as support. .
  • And so we wouldn't be surprised if we had a move back up to the recent high. .
  • Unfortunately, the pros have not taken control just yet. .
  • Remember, we're only on our second day of .
  • a buy signal, so we'll give them a couple of more days to see if they come back in. .
  • Natural gas pulled back to the lower .
  • channel line yesterday, looking for a close on Tuesday. .
  • Below $3.70. 3.71 is support. .
  • 4.10 is acting as resistance. .
  • Of course, we always look for moves to be two lines at a time. .
  • And so if we start breaking down below .
  • 3.71, then two lines down takes us back to the 3.32 level. .
  • Unfortunately, the fly paper channel is .
  • still acting as resistance for natural gas and that is unfortunate. .
  • Of course, it's going to be a big .
  • celebration if we can start breaking out above those levels. .
  • Then looking at energy stocks, the XGD is on its fourth day of a buy signal here. .
  • When you look at this chart, you can see that it's crunched in. .
  • This particular chart is set to always have price in the middle of the chart. .
  • So if you are coming up to the top of the .
  • projected trading range, this is going to be flattened down. .
  • The top of the projected trading range is .
  • up there at 17.97. If we want to look beyond that, you can simply do the math or .
  • you can go to the weekly chart and see that 18.75 would be our next target. .
  • So if we take out the top of the daily range, 18.75 would be our next target and .
  • that would take us back to the high from early 2022. .
  • Then looking at US .
  • Energy stocks on the XLE. .
  • Again, looking at a weekly chart, you can see that 93.75 is our next target and we .
  • ran up to that recently and that has acted as resistance. .
  • If we can take that out, then $100 certainly comes into play. .
  • Moving back to the daily chart, you can see 93.75 is the top of the range right .
  • now and 84.38 is the bottom of the range at the moment. .
  • And there we are on our second day of a buy signal. .
  • For the XLE. .
  • Okay, that is all for this morning's presentation. .
  • So far it looks like we're going to have a fairly quiet open on Tuesday morning. .
  • Enjoy the rest of your day. .
  • The next time you'll hear my voice is on Wednesday morning. .