- good morning everyone and
welcome to Tuesday Morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside here from
TheUpTrend.com In the pre market this .
- morning, stock index futures are
trading slightly below fair value. .
- Commodities are mixed. .
- We are coming up to some economic numbers
at 8:30 this morning and then at 10:00 and .
- of course those numbers could
add to market volatility. .
- Now yesterday was an inside day
for a lot of areas of the market. .
- The VIX had an inside day. .
- So on Tuesday we're looking for a close .
- below 1675 to give us a new sell signal
that of course would be supportive for .
- higher stock prices in
the Canadian market. .
- The Ishares for the TSX
60 had an inside day. .
- We had an inside day for the
Nasdaq, 100 for Semiconductors. .
- We did not have an inside day
for the Dow or the S&P 500. .
- Unable to take out the
high from two days ago. .
- Trading up into the gap 437.50 is current. .
- Resistance support is at 429
.69. Is resistance holding? .
- Well, over the past couple of days we've .
- run up three times and we've been unable
to take out that area of resistance. .
- As high as we got was 437.34. Now just .
- above that resistance is the top of the
open gap at 438.43. So that's going to be .
- a very important number to watch
to see what the market does if it goes up .
- and fills that gap at
this particular time. .
- If we can take out that gap
then 445.31 comes into play. .
- Now looking at gold miners this morning .
- and the price of gold back on the 11th of
the month we generated a buy signal for .
- gold at that time, our next price target
was 1937.50. And what do you know? .
- Well we've run up to that level and
stopped and so now we're looking to see if .
- we can break out and retest the highs from
back in September on our way to $2,000. .
- Unfortunately we're stuck at the moving
average convergence here and yesterday we .
- traded between the 51 hundred day moving
average with the 200 day just above us. .
- So that is going to be a big ask to get .
- the market to start trading
above those levels. .
- We'll just have to wait and see. .
- Looking at the GDX and looking at the .
- Panic Zone chart, you can see we are
certainly projecting higher prices right .
- now, but the GDX has been a series
of lower highs and lower lows. .
- Right now we are looking to see if we can .
- retest the high from September and to do
that we're going to have to get up to our .
- next price target of 29.69. Unfortunately
the pros have not taken control so far, .
- even though we've been on a
buy signal for a few days now. .
- Looking north of the border, looking at .
- the XGD, this chart is
looking very similar. .
- It is a different mix of international,
Canadian and international gold companies. .
- You can see we've traded up and getting .
- pretty close to those September highs and
the pros are starting to take control. .
- So we have hit our next price target of .
- 17.19. So congratulations, you
got to lock in some profits. .
- Our next target, of course, is going to be
the high from late August and into .
- September, and that's up at the
17.54, I think 17.57 level. .
- If we can take that out, then of
course 17.97 would come into play. .
- Next up, let's take a look at the energy
sector, and crude oil generated a buy .
- signal on Friday, small
pullback on Monday. .
- It is trading higher in the
pre market this morning. .
- Unlike gold, which is seeing the moving .
- averages act as resistance, crude
oil is using them as support. .
- And so we wouldn't be surprised if we
had a move back up to the recent high. .
- Unfortunately, the pros have
not taken control just yet. .
- Remember, we're only on our second day of .
- a buy signal, so we'll give them a couple
of more days to see if they come back in. .
- Natural gas pulled back to the lower .
- channel line yesterday, looking
for a close on Tuesday. .
- Below $3.70. 3.71 is support. .
- 4.10 is acting as resistance. .
- Of course, we always look for
moves to be two lines at a time. .
- And so if we start breaking down below .
- 3.71, then two lines down takes
us back to the 3.32 level. .
- Unfortunately, the fly paper channel is .
- still acting as resistance for
natural gas and that is unfortunate. .
- Of course, it's going to be a big .
- celebration if we can start
breaking out above those levels. .
- Then looking at energy stocks, the XGD is
on its fourth day of a buy signal here. .
- When you look at this chart, you
can see that it's crunched in. .
- This particular chart is set to always
have price in the middle of the chart. .
- So if you are coming up to the top of the .
- projected trading range, this
is going to be flattened down. .
- The top of the projected trading range is .
- up there at 17.97. If we want to look
beyond that, you can simply do the math or .
- you can go to the weekly chart and see
that 18.75 would be our next target. .
- So if we take out the top of the daily
range, 18.75 would be our next target and .
- that would take us back to
the high from early 2022. .
- Then looking at US .
- Energy stocks on the XLE. .
- Again, looking at a weekly chart, you can
see that 93.75 is our next target and we .
- ran up to that recently and
that has acted as resistance. .
- If we can take that out, then
$100 certainly comes into play. .
- Moving back to the daily chart, you can
see 93.75 is the top of the range right .
- now and 84.38 is the bottom
of the range at the moment. .
- And there we are on our
second day of a buy signal. .
- For the XLE. .
- Okay, that is all for this
morning's presentation. .
- So far it looks like we're going to have
a fairly quiet open on Tuesday morning. .
- Enjoy the rest of your day. .
- The next time you'll hear my
voice is on Wednesday morning. .