- Good morning, everyone, and
welcome to Tuesday Morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside here from .
- TheUpTrend.com In the pre market this
morning, things are fairly quiet. .
- Stock index futures are
trading just below fair value. .
- Now, looking at the VIX, we're going to
remain short term bullish on the market as .
- long as the VIX does not close
above $14.33 on Tuesday. .
- Let's start off this morning's .
- presentation, taking a look
at the Canadian market. .
- And in the news this morning, we've got
Bank of Nova Scotia out with earnings. .
- It is trading lower in the pre market. .
- And you can see we've had some weakness in .
- the Bank of Nova Scotia over
the last couple of days. .
- We're looking for a close
on Tuesday below 59 90. .
- Now all the major Canadian
banks are reporting this week. .
- And you can see the TD Bank has had some
weakness over the past couple of days. .
- And on Tuesday, we're looking for a close
below $82.99 to give us a sell signal. .
- Now, the Ishares for the TSX 60 ended .
- Monday on a sell signal closing
just below the lower channel line. .
- And what caused that? .
- Well, it was the energy sector was the .
- biggest loser on Monday,
crude oil traded lower. .
- It is, of course, still on a sell signal. .
- That would change on Tuesday with a close .
- for crude oil above $77.98.
No joy for natural gas. .
- Making a new low on Monday. .
- And then looking at the Ishares for the
TSX Energy Index, you can see we're still .
- trading above the $16 level, and
that is currently acting as support. .
- Looking at US energy stocks,
we're trading in the channel. .
- There's a lot more interest in the
US for energy stocks right now. .
- You can see the pros have almost
taken control north of the border. .
- It certainly doesn't look like the pros .
- want to take control of the energy
sector at this particular time. .
- Now, while energy stocks didn't work well,
precious metals did work on Monday, with .
- gold moving up to the previous high from a
couple of weeks ago, while silver is .
- heading towards the high
from back in August. .
- And so when we look at the gold stocks, .
- you can see on the XGD, we
moved up 1.93% yesterday. .
- The GDX in the US. .
- Was up 1.6%, and then we
had silver stocks up 1.76%. .
- And again, silver and silver stocks .
- leading the precious metals
higher at the moment. .
- Looking at the US. .
- Market, it was very quiet yesterday for
the S&P 500 and for the Nasdaq 100. .
- Looking at the next gen Nasdaq
stocks, they're still stuck at $25. .
- It would be nice if we could start
breaking out above that level. .
- And we've got semiconductors
still stuck at $200. .
- And again, we're looking to see if we can
break out of these areas of resistance. .
- Speaking of resistance, looking at US. .
- Banks, you can see that the bottom of the
gap there has been acting as resistance. .
- When we look at Regional Banks. .
- It's our mathematical target of 45. .
- 31 that's holding us in check. .
- We're trying to hold support at 43.
75. .
- If that breaks, then we imagine that we'd .
- head back down to try
to fill this open gap. .
- What worked yesterday? .
- Well, on the Dow it was 3M followed
by the Travelers companies. .
- And of course, we've noted insurance .
- stocks have been outperforming bank
stocks over the past few months. .
- Okay folks, that's all for
this morning's presentation. .
- Certainly not surprised to see
a little bit of weakness here. .
- It's kind of a US thanksgiving hangover .
- and not expecting too many
things to break hard this week. .
- And as we come into month end, wouldn't be .
- surprised to see some
buying start once again. .
- Have a great day folks. .
- Next time you'll hear my voice
is on Wednesday morning. .