- Good morning, everyone, and
welcome to Tuesday morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside here from T
heUpTrend.com Well, this morning is all .
- about the CPI numbers coming
out at 8:30 this morning. .
- I don't think there's going to be a
lot of volatility off these numbers. .
- I don't think there's going
to be a big surprise. .
- But whatever happens, it's going to feed .
- into how people think the
Fed is going to act in 2024. .
- Now, yesterday morning, we started off
looking at Bitcoin and Ethereum, and we .
- were looking at the weekly charts and
we were looking at upside projections. .
- At the same time, right after we did
that, both Bitcoin and Ethereum sold off. .
- Both are still on buy signals. .
- That has not changed. .
- But this rally is pretty
long in the tooth. .
- I remember this rally started off a peak
in the VIX, and then as the VIX started to .
- come down, Bitcoin and
Ethereum started to go up. .
- I think if the VIX starts to go up, .
- Bitcoin and Ethereum
will probably come down. .
- For the VIX, we're looking for a close on .
- Tuesday above 13.43 to change
the tone of the market. .
- Looking at the US dollar index, it
continued to move higher, and that's .
- probably not good for the
price of gold right now. .
- Looking at the bond market, we saw the TLT .
- and the XBB and the EMB and the JNK all
pull back slightly on Monday, not enough .
- to give us any sell signals, so no
change in trends for the bond market. .
- Let's move from the world of bonds
to the world of commodities. .
- We saw a selling in most of the major .
- commodities yesterday, starting
with the GLD and then the SLV. .
- Then looking at Palladium, we were up
slightly on the day, did not close above .
- the previous day's high,
so nothing going on there. .
- Then a small pullback in platinum. .
- Looking at the stocks, we saw the GDX and .
- the XGD continue to move lower, and we
saw the SIL also continue to move lower. .
- Most of the losses were
recovered going into the close. .
- There are certainly some interest in the .
- miners, but unfortunately, it's not
enough to change the trend on Tuesday. .
- Looking at the energy sector, we saw
the USO trade up slightly yesterday. .
- We saw a little selling in gasoline and .
- more selling in natural gas,
which gapped lower yesterday. .
- Then looking at energy stocks on the TSX, .
- we were down another 1.22%.
Now, if you were with us recently, we were .
- watching to see if the XEG
could hold the 16.02 level. .
- Of course, if that were to break,
then we would look two lines down. .
- That would be the new playing field.
What happened? .
- Well, we've traded down to that target. .
- If we continue to move lower from here,
14.45 could be our next target if we start .
- breaking down below 15.23.
Now, the TSX Energy stocks have broken .
- through the bottom of the Fly Paper
Channel, joining US energy stocks, which .
- were already trading below
the Fly Paper Channel,. .
- And so that's a very bear sign for
the energy sector going into 2024. .
- Next up, let's take a look
at the Magnificent Eight. .
- And these stocks all look like they're .
- topping at the moment, and money is coming
out of these stocks going into other high .
- tech stocks, which are doing
fairly well at the moment. .
- Alphabit's struggling. .
- It got a negative court ruling yesterday, .
- and it is down slightly in
the premarket this morning. .
- Looking for a close on Tuesday below
133.59. For Amazon, we're looking for a .
- close below 144.41. For Apple, we're
looking for a close below .
- 190.49. Apple is the best performer
of this group at the present time. .
- Then looking at Meta, we traded down .
- through the lower channel line yesterday,
so we could be back on a sell signal on .
- Tuesday with a close blow, 321.91.
Then looking at Microsoft, looking for a .
- close above 375.08 to give us
a new buy signal on Tuesday. .
- Then looking at nVidIA, and
this is the big change here. .
- Money has come out of nVidIA and
gone into other chip stocks. .
- We'll look at that in a second. .
- For nVidIA, we're looking
for a close above 475. .
- 73 on Tuesday to give us a buy signal. .
- There's the Semiconductor sector making a .
- new high for this move on Monday being
led higher by Advanced Micro Devices. .
- But the biggest winner on Monday was
Broadcom, which was up 9% on the day. .
- Then looking at Shopify in New York, we're .
- looking for a close
below $70.90 on Tuesday. .
- In Toronto, we're looking for a close .
- below 96.48 to give us a
sell signal on Tuesday. .
- Last up, trading water here. .
- We've got Tesla on a buy signal, but
hasn't been going anywhere for a while. .
- Still stuck in that area of the open gap. .
- Even though we filled the gap a while
ago, we're still trading in that area. .
- Looking for a close on Tuesday below 235. .
- 56 to give us a sell signal for Tesla. .
- Let's finish off today's presentation .
- looking at the ARK Invest ETFs,
and they're all doing pretty good. .
- The only one that's really struggling here .
- is Genomics, and it has not
gone up in a straight line. .
- We saw a pullback here in early November,
and we've struggled to move higher. .
- But then if you look at the Innovation
ETF, we're one day off a new high. .
- Then we've got the Industrials doing well, .
- we've got Space doing well, and
we've got the Internet doing well. .
- And so all areas of the art invest ETFs, .
- except Genomics, have been
doing well over the last month. .
- Okay, folks, that is all for this .
- morning's presentation, waiting to see
how the world reacts to the CPI numbers. .
- Then, of course, we've got the Fed coming
out on Wednesday, and that, of course, .
- could totally change the
direction of the market. .
- Enjoy the rest of your day. .
- Next time you'll hear my voice
is on Wednesday morning. .