- Good morning, everyone, and
welcome to Tuesday morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside here from T
heUpTrend.com In the pre market this .
- morning, stock index futures
are trading above fair value. .
- So so far, it looks like investors want to .
- do a little buying at the
open on Tuesday morning. .
- Looking at the CNN fear and greed index,
we have made it up into extreme greed. .
- We haven't made it up
all the way to the top. .
- Nobody says we have to actually do that,
but this is a good indication that this is .
- not the time to be putting new
money into the stock market. .
- Now, we normally look to New York and .
- Toronto for guidance on what's
going to happen next in the markets. .
- But what's been going on over the last
seven weeks has a lot more to do with the .
- people in Chicago than it does with
the people in New York or Toronto. .
- Looking at the VIX, the VIX is
still on a daily sell signal. .
- That would change on Tuesday if we were to .
- close above 12.96. And then looking at the
bond market, we've got ten year yields. .
- We are seeing panic selling at the moment. .
- It's currently ranked as zero. .
- We've come down to the 391 level
that's currently acting as support. .
- And you can see that on
the right side chart. .
- We had an inside day yesterday,
an inside day the day before. .
- And so we're looking to see if
bond yields start to move back up. .
- That would, of course, be on
the back of falling bond prices. .
- We're currently seeing panic
buying in the bond market. .
- The ten year note has run up to 112. .
- 50 and stopped over the
last couple of days. .
- It could continue its climb. .
- And if it could continue to move higher, .
- that would be supportive
for higher stock prices. .
- If we start to pull back and get a sell .
- signal here, that, of course would
be negative for the stock market. .
- And of course, as a consumer, you can .
- watch that in the TLT or in
the XBB traded in Toronto. .
- If we see sell signals in either of those, .
- that of course would be very
negative for the stock market. .
- Now, speaking of the stock market, the .
- ishares for the TSX 60 had
an inside day on Monday. .
- The big winner on the TSX was one of the .
- big losers from last week,
and that was Dollarama. .
- That was the big gainer. .
- Then looking at the Dow,
new high for the Dow. .
- And the big winner on the Dow was also one .
- of the big losers from last week,
and that was Procter and Gamble. .
- Still, both Dollarama and Procter
and Gamble are on daily sell signals. .
- That has not changed. .
- There's the S&P 500 moving up yesterday,
the big winner on the S&P 500 was Etsy. .
- Still on a buy signal, no change in trend. .
- Then looking at the Nasdaq, the
Nasdaq made a new high yesterday. .
- What didn't make a new high? .
- Well, the Equal Weighted ETF actually
had an inside day of an inside day. .
- That's also true of the
Next Gen Nasdaq stocks. .
- That ETF also had an inside
day of an inside day. .
- Now, it was the world's greatest amusement
park that led the Nasdaq higher on Monday. .
- And that, of course, was Costco. .
- A couple of those next generation stocks
people were asking me about yesterday, .
- both Coinbase moving up
yesterday, still on a buy signal. .
- No change in trend. .
- And no change in trend for Square. .
- Both still on buy signals. .
- Let's finish off today's presentation. .
- Looking at commodity etfs, and we've got .
- the USo back on a buy
signal as of Monday's close. .
- Joining gasoline already on a buy signal. .
- And then we had natural gas
trade up to the channel. .
- So a close above $5.06 on Tuesday would
give us a buy signal for natural gas. .
- Inside day yesterday for the GLD. .
- No change in trend there. .
- Then we've got palladium continuing to .
- move higher, making a
new high for this move. .
- Platinum moved up slightly on Monday. .
- And then looking at the SLV we pulled
back yesterday, still on a buy signal. .
- That would change on Tuesday with a close .
- below $21.50. Okay, folks, that is
all for this morning's presentation. .
- We've talked about selling over the
past week and locking in some profits. .
- There's no reason to completely liquidate
any position until you get a sell signal, .
- but it's prudent that you
do lock in some profits. .
- Stocks usually fall faster than they rise,
and I wouldn't be surprised if we saw some .
- aggressive selling in
the month of January. .
- Enjoy the rest of your day, folks. .
- Next time you'll hear my
voice is on Wednesday morning. .