- Good morning, everyone, and
welcome to Wednesday morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside
here from theuptrend.com. .
- In the pre-market this morning, stock .
- index futures are down across the board,
so so far it looks like we're going to see .
- some selling at the open
on Wednesday morning. .
- Now, the first trading day of 2024 has .
- come and gone and it
was a pretty cloudy day. .
- We saw a big move up in the US dollar
index, which can be negative for stocks. .
- We saw bonds selling off yesterday, which
of course, can be negative for stocks. .
- So so far, things are
not looking very good. .
- Now, crude oil was down yesterday. .
- That's good for the economy, but
not necessarily good for investors. .
- While natural gas traded higher,
gold was fairly stable yesterday. .
- It's down $16 in the
premarket this morning. .
- That's not a good sign. .
- Gold is chasing silver already
back on a daily sell signal. .
- Now, the DOW was able to
hold its own on Tuesday. .
- That had a lot to do with one sector of
the market, and that is US Health Care, .
- which was the best performer
in North America on Tuesday. .
- You can see a couple of the DOW 30 stocks .
- led the healthcare sector higher,
which was Merck and Amgen. .
- Then we also have a couple of stocks that .
- all of these stocks are in the
S&P 500, some Moderna and Viatris. .
- Viatris is up over 5% on the day. .
- If you own any of these stocks and you
haven't been systematically taking money .
- off the table, Wednesday would be
a good day to lock in some profits. .
- But again, there is no reason to
completely liquidate a position. .
- There's nothing wrong with selling into .
- strength, and we certainly
had strength on Tuesday. .
- Now, the VIX for the S&P 500 is pretty
close to a buy signal right now. .
- It certainly traded through the
upper channel line yesterday. .
- It traded right up to the tether
line on the midterm chart. .
- So that's looking like options traders are
getting a little nervous at the moment. .
- We did not get a sell signal
in the S&P 500 on Tuesday. .
- That would happen on Wednesday with a .
- close below
471.08. Now, the VIX for the Nasdaq, a .
- little more elevated
already on a buy signal. .
- And we saw the Nasdaq
100 roll over yesterday. .
- Remember coming into this week, we had a .
- lot of window dressing, a lot of panic
buying over the last couple of weeks, and .
- now we're seeing those people
unwind those positions. .
- They don't need them anymore. .
- We're seeing some selling, whether that
continues or not is another story yet to .
- be written, but we'll just have
to take the signals as they come. .
- The biggest loser on the Nasdaq 100 .
- yesterday was MongoDB, which was down over
6% on the day, and then followed by .
- Advanced Micro Devices, which
was down nearly 6% on the day. .
- But I think the biggest drag was probably .
- those Magnificent Seven stocks,
and we had a gap lower for Apple. .
- That you don't see very often, and then .
- the rest of the Magnificent Seven,
most of them generated sell signals. .
- We're looking at Amazon, we're looking at .
- Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and then Shopify
on both sides of the border, back on a .
- sell signal, joining Tesla
already on a sell signal. .
- Looking at the Canadian market, the ice
price for the TSX 60 had a fairly quiet .
- day, closing down just
nine cents on the day. .
- On Wednesday, we're looking for a close .
- below $31.59 to give us a new sell
signal for the iShares for the TSX 60. .
- What worked on the TSX? .
- Well, the energy sector was up on the day,
but as you can see, we're in the channel, .
- so we're not trending at the moment,
even though we're on a buy signal. .
- We do have an open gap above the recent .
- high that could act as
resistance going forward. .
- And so far, it does not look like the
pros are interested in taking control. .
- Yes, we're on a buy signal, but we're in .
- the channel, which is not trending
and the pros have not taken control. .
- That's not looking like
it's going to work out. .
- What worked? .
- Well, First, Quantum was the
biggest winner on the TSX. .
- Of course, this is a very High Risk stock. .
- It is on a buy signal right now. .
- The pros are starting to take control. .
- We hit our next price target of 12.50. .
- 15.63 and 18.75 are the next
two targets to the upside. .
- If we look at the Fly Paper Channel, you .
- can see it's up at $20, but
it is coming down daily. .
- So it is going to intersect with that
18.75 level over the next few days. .
- So that is the opportunity. .
- But remember, it is a very
high risk opportunity. .
- This company is one press
release away from being a zero. .
- Then looking at what didn't work. .
- Well, Brookfield was
a big loser yesterday. .
- It is still on a buy signal that would
change on Wednesday with a close below 5 .
- 1.70. Then we've got Open
Text back on a sell signal. .
- We had a big down day for Lightspeed
trading down to the lower channel line. .
- So a close below $25.53 would give
us a sell signal on Wednesday. .
- Then Nuvei is back on a sell
signal as of Tuesday's close. .
- Now last up this morning, looking at the .
- biggest Canadian stock,
which is the Royal Bank. .
- We've had several early
warning signals up there. .
- It still hasn't moved much. .
- It was only down to five cents yesterday. .
- We're looking for a close below 131.78 on .
- Wednesday to give us a sell
signal for the Royal Bank. .
- The pros don't look like they want
to give up control at the moment. .
- We hit the 134.38 level a couple of weeks
ago, and now we're looking at our next .
- price target, which is 137.50, which
is also our next weekly target. .
- You can see that we got a little higher
than that back at the start of 2023. .
- A year ago, we were up at that level. .
- The Royal Bank might want to stretch up to .
- the 137.50 level before
starting to pull back. .
- But so far, coming into Wednesday's .
- trading action, we don't really
have anything to be concerned about. .
- Okay, folks, that is all for
this morning's presentation. .
- So far, it looks like we're going to see .
- some selling at the open
on Wednesday morning. .
- We came into this week very overbought,
and we certainly had some panic buying in .
- late December, and we
need to work that off. .
- Whether that turns into a longer term
downtrend is yet to be determined. .
- But so far from Tuesday's trading action, .
- we did generate a lot
of daily sell signals. .
- Enjoy the rest of your day. .
- Next time you'll hear my
voice is on Wednesday morning. .