- Good morning, everyone, and
welcome to Thursday morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside
here from theuptrend.com. .
- In the pre-market this morning,
things are fairly quiet. .
- Stock index futures and commodities
are currently trading above fair value. .
- We do have inflation and employment
numbers coming out at 8:30 this morning, .
- and that could add to the
pre-market volatility. .
- The VIX is still on a sell signal that
is supportive for higher stock prices. .
- That would change on Thursday if the VIX
were to close above 13.78. .
- Now, we were hoping to get the US
dollar index to start falling again. .
- That would be supportive for higher stock
prices, but so far that's not the case. .
- The US dollar index was down slightly. .
- Yesterday, had an inside
day, so no change there. .
- And bonds, we want bonds to start moving .
- up to put more downward pressure
on bond yields and interest rates. .
- That's not happening at the moment. .
- If you're looking at the TLT or the XBB,
where we did see money going to bonds in .
- the emerging markets and junk
bonds were both up yesterday. .
- Junk bonds are actually
back on a buy a buy signal. .
- So a mixed picture in the bond market. .
- Us dollar index so far not supportive for
higher stock prices here, but we'll see .
- how the market reacts to those numbers
coming out at 8:30 this morning. .
- Now, the DOW is still on a buy
signal here up at all time highs. .
- At the same time, we still have 11 of the
Dow 30 stocks on daily sell signals, and .
- we'll take a look at
that in a few minutes. .
- The S&P 500 continued
to move up yesterday. .
- We had the Nasdaq continue to
move higher on Wednesday as well. .
- Not a lot of joy for the Russell
2000 or for the microcaps. .
- They're still on sell signals here. .
- Still both trading below
the lower channel line. .
- Now, looking at the Canadian market, a .
- very quiet trading on Wednesday for
the TSX composite and the TSAX 60. .
- We've got mid-caps back on a buy signal, .
- small caps still on a sell signal, and
microcaps still on a buy signal here. .
- So a mixed picture. .
- In 2024, it's been the Communication .
- Services, the telecom stocks
that have been holding the TSX up. .
- Now, looking at the Dow 30, 11 of the Dow
30 stocks are still on daily sell signals, .
- and we can go through
those fairly quickly. .
- Still waiting for Apple
to generate a buy signal. .
- American Express rolled over on Wednesday, .
- is back on a sell signal, joining
Boeing already on a sell signal. .
- Then we've got Chevron, Walt Disney, .
- Dow, Honeywell, IBM, and Intel,
both still on sell signals. .
- That could certainly change on Thursday. .
- Then we've got Nike still on a
sell signal, no change there. .
- And last up, Walgreens Boots still on a
sell signal, no change in trend there. .
- Okay, folks, that is all for
this morning's presentation. .
- Waiting for those economic numbers to come .
- out to see which way the
market is going to go. .
- Depending on what happens today, we've got
more economic numbers coming out on Friday .
- that, again, could change
the direction of the market. .
- Again, only time will how the
market will react to those numbers. .
- Enjoy the rest of your day. .
- Next time you'll hear my
voice is on Friday morning.. .