• Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Wednesday morning. .
  • It's Stephen Whiteside here from TheUpTrend. .
  • com In the pre-market this morning, things are fairly quiet. .
  • We only have one economic number coming .
  • out of any significance this morning, and that is international trade at 8:30. .
  • Then we have energy inventories coming out later in the morning. .
  • Now, there's lots of stocks in the news this morning. .
  • One that I know a lot of you follow is Ford, and Ford was up over 4% yesterday. .
  • It's up over 5% in the pre-market this .
  • morning, and it is currently trading above the December high. .
  • So a new high for this move for Ford on Wednesday morning. .
  • Now, the VIX moved lower yesterday. .
  • It's back on a sell signal, and we really don't care too much about what the VIX .
  • does right now unless it starts breaking out above 15. .
  • That would certainly tell us something new is happening in the options market. .
  • Now, yesterday was an inside day for the S&P 500 and for the Dow. .
  • We are looking at a target of 500 on the .
  • SPY as our next major area of resistance, and 5,000 on the index itself. .
  • Coming into Wednesday's trading action, we would need to see a close below $485. .
  • 81 to give us a sell signal for the SPY. .
  • More conservative traders are going to be looking for a close below 482. .
  • Then, of course, long-term investors would .
  • not be disturbed until the S&P 500 closes below $464. .
  • 17 on Friday. .
  • And so far this week, we're certainly not expecting that to happen. .
  • Now, the Dow Diamonds had an inside day yesterday. .
  • The Q's were able to trade slightly above the previous day's high. .
  • So no change in trend there. .
  • No change in trend for the Russell 2000 or .
  • for the Russell microcaps, both moving up into the channel yesterday. .
  • Then looking at semiconductors. .
  • The SOX index looks like this, and the .
  • semiconductor ETF that I usually quote looks like this. .
  • The reason I follow this one is it's part of the S&P family, the SPDR family. .
  • Unfortunately, a lot of you want me to .
  • cover this one, which certainly has a lot more volume. .
  • And so in the future, I will be quoting the SMH as you have requested. .
  • And you can see it is up yesterday. .
  • It was up at the $195 level as up at the high of the day. .
  • And we are looking We're waiting to see if .
  • it can break out and make a higher high on Wednesday. .
  • Now, what happened on Tuesday? .
  • Well, materials were the big winner, while technology stocks .
  • were the losers on the day, and materials are still on a sell signal. .
  • That would change on Wednesday with a close above $83. .
  • 03. .
  • No joy for real estate. .
  • We've got health care making a new high. .
  • Lots of big cap health care stocks have .
  • had huge run-ups over the in the past couple of weeks. .
  • Industrials made a new closing high yesterday. .
  • No change in trend for consumer discretionary. .
  • Energy stocks in the US still on a buy signal. .
  • No change in trend for utilities. .
  • And then looking at financials, Very quiet day for financials on Tuesday. .
  • Bank stocks still on a sell signal, and .
  • the regional bank still on a sell signal, holding the recent low. .
  • And of course, the market is a little .
  • concerned about what's happening in the regional banking sector, which could .
  • roll over to the rest of the market if something major breaks down. .
  • Consumer staples still on a buy signal, no change there. .
  • Communication services, we saw a pullback .
  • yesterday, closing below the previous day's low, and that could be a concern .
  • going forward, but right now we are still on a buy signal. .
  • No change in trend for technology stocks. .
  • Then we saw transports move up. .
  • The transports were not part of the list .
  • we started with, but I just wanted to throw them in there that the We are back .
  • on a buy signal and actually closed above the previous week's high. .
  • Next up, let's take a look at the world of commodities. .
  • Starting with crude oil, the USO is still on a sell signal. .
  • Now, we do have energy inventories coming out later this morning, which could .
  • certainly change the direction of this ETF. .
  • Now, it is looking bullish, even though we're still on a sell signal here. .
  • Notice we put in a recent higher high, and we've put in a series of higher lows. .
  • So that is a bullish chart pattern, even though we're still on a sell signal. .
  • That is also true for gasoline, which .
  • recently put in a higher high and a higher low. .
  • So we're still on a sell signal here. .
  • For gasoline, we would need a close above 64. .
  • 22 on Wednesday to give us a buy signal. .
  • Unfortunately, no joy for natural gas. .
  • We made a new closing low for this move yesterday, still clustering around the 18. .
  • 75 level. .
  • If we want to break down from here, then 15. .
  • 63 would be our next target to the downside. .
  • Looking at the metals, we've got the GLD trading in the channel. .
  • It's up a penny in the pre-market last time I checked. .
  • Looking for a close above 189. .
  • 01 to give us a new buy signal, get us back on track for the GLD. .
  • No joy for a palladium, no joy for .
  • platinum, and no joy for silver coming into Wednesday's trading action. .
  • Last up this morning, let's take a look at the Magnificent 8. .
  • And starting with AMD, it is back on a sell signal as of Tuesday's close. .
  • No change in trend for Amazon, no change .
  • in trend for Alphabet, still on a sell signal here. .
  • Then no change in trend for Microsoft, looking for a close below $400. .
  • 52 on Wednesday They did give us a sell signal. .
  • Nvidia made a new high yesterday, trading .
  • right over the $700 level before starting to pull back. .
  • No change in trend there. .
  • And then looking at Shopify, we had a .
  • reversal last week week, but we're not going anywhere. .
  • So looking for a close on Wednesday below $79. .
  • 44. .
  • And then Tesla was up on the day, still trading below the lower channel line, .
  • looking for a close on Wednesday above $195. .
  • 52. .
  • And so far, what we're seeing in the .
  • pre-market, we're not seeing that just yet. .
  • And again, we are looking for our first close above this bar. .
  • And yes, we have traded above it, but we haven't closed above it. .
  • And that's the first thing we're really looking for. .
  • Our last chart of the day is Netflix. .
  • Netflix is still on a buy signal here. .
  • We've got an early warning signal yesterday closed in the channel. .
  • So we're looking for a close on Wednesday below $546. .
  • 80. .
  • Okay, folks, that is all for this morning's presentation. .
  • So far, it looks like we're going to have a fairly quiet open on Wednesday. .
  • Have a great day, folks, and the next time .
  • you'll hear my voice is on Thursday morning. .