- Good morning, everyone, and
welcome to Wednesday morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside
here from TheUpTrend. .
- com In the pre-market this
morning, things are fairly quiet. .
- We only have one economic number coming .
- out of any significance this morning,
and that is international trade at 8:30. .
- Then we have energy inventories
coming out later in the morning. .
- Now, there's lots of stocks
in the news this morning. .
- One that I know a lot of you follow is
Ford, and Ford was up over 4% yesterday. .
- It's up over 5% in the pre-market this .
- morning, and it is currently
trading above the December high. .
- So a new high for this move
for Ford on Wednesday morning. .
- Now, the VIX moved lower yesterday. .
- It's back on a sell signal, and we really
don't care too much about what the VIX .
- does right now unless it
starts breaking out above 15. .
- That would certainly tell us something
new is happening in the options market. .
- Now, yesterday was an inside day
for the S&P 500 and for the Dow. .
- We are looking at a target of 500 on the .
- SPY as our next major area of resistance,
and 5,000 on the index itself. .
- Coming into Wednesday's trading action,
we would need to see a close below $485. .
- 81 to give us a sell signal for the SPY. .
- More conservative traders are going
to be looking for a close below 482. .
- Then, of course, long-term investors would .
- not be disturbed until the
S&P 500 closes below $464. .
- 17 on Friday. .
- And so far this week, we're certainly
not expecting that to happen. .
- Now, the Dow Diamonds had
an inside day yesterday. .
- The Q's were able to trade slightly
above the previous day's high. .
- So no change in trend there. .
- No change in trend for the Russell 2000 or .
- for the Russell microcaps, both
moving up into the channel yesterday. .
- Then looking at semiconductors. .
- The SOX index looks like this, and the .
- semiconductor ETF that I
usually quote looks like this. .
- The reason I follow this one is it's
part of the S&P family, the SPDR family. .
- Unfortunately, a lot of you want me to .
- cover this one, which certainly
has a lot more volume. .
- And so in the future, I will be
quoting the SMH as you have requested. .
- And you can see it is up yesterday. .
- It was up at the $195 level
as up at the high of the day. .
- And we are looking We're waiting to see if .
- it can break out and make
a higher high on Wednesday. .
- Now, what happened on Tuesday? .
- Well, materials were the big winner, while
technology stocks .
- were the losers on the day,
and materials are still on a sell signal. .
- That would change on Wednesday
with a close above $83. .
- 03. .
- No joy for real estate. .
- We've got health care making a new high. .
- Lots of big cap health care stocks have .
- had huge run-ups over the
in the past couple of weeks. .
- Industrials made a new
closing high yesterday. .
- No change in trend for
consumer discretionary. .
- Energy stocks in the US
still on a buy signal. .
- No change in trend for utilities. .
- And then looking at financials, Very
quiet day for financials on Tuesday. .
- Bank stocks still on a sell signal, and .
- the regional bank still on a sell
signal, holding the recent low. .
- And of course, the market is a little .
- concerned about what's happening in the
regional banking sector, which could .
- roll over to the rest of the market
if something major breaks down. .
- Consumer staples still on a
buy signal, no change there. .
- Communication services, we saw a pullback .
- yesterday, closing below the previous
day's low, and that could be a concern .
- going forward, but right now
we are still on a buy signal. .
- No change in trend for technology stocks. .
- Then we saw transports move up. .
- The transports were not part of the list .
- we started with, but I just wanted to
throw them in there that the We are back .
- on a buy signal and actually closed
above the previous week's high. .
- Next up, let's take a look
at the world of commodities. .
- Starting with crude oil, the
USO is still on a sell signal. .
- Now, we do have energy inventories coming
out later this morning, which could .
- certainly change the
direction of this ETF. .
- Now, it is looking bullish, even though
we're still on a sell signal here. .
- Notice we put in a recent higher high,
and we've put in a series of higher lows. .
- So that is a bullish chart pattern, even
though we're still on a sell signal. .
- That is also true for gasoline, which .
- recently put in a higher
high and a higher low. .
- So we're still on a sell signal here. .
- For gasoline, we would
need a close above 64. .
- 22 on Wednesday to give us a buy signal. .
- Unfortunately, no joy for natural gas. .
- We made a new closing low for this move
yesterday, still clustering around the 18. .
- 75 level. .
- If we want to break
down from here, then 15. .
- 63 would be our next
target to the downside. .
- Looking at the metals, we've got
the GLD trading in the channel. .
- It's up a penny in the
pre-market last time I checked. .
- Looking for a close above 189. .
- 01 to give us a new buy signal,
get us back on track for the GLD. .
- No joy for a palladium, no joy for .
- platinum, and no joy for silver coming
into Wednesday's trading action. .
- Last up this morning, let's take
a look at the Magnificent 8. .
- And starting with AMD, it is back on
a sell signal as of Tuesday's close. .
- No change in trend for Amazon, no change .
- in trend for Alphabet,
still on a sell signal here. .
- Then no change in trend for Microsoft,
looking for a close below $400. .
- 52 on Wednesday They did
give us a sell signal. .
- Nvidia made a new high yesterday, trading .
- right over the $700 level
before starting to pull back. .
- No change in trend there. .
- And then looking at Shopify, we had a .
- reversal last week week, but
we're not going anywhere. .
- So looking for a close
on Wednesday below $79. .
- 44. .
- And then Tesla was up on the day, still
trading below the lower channel line, .
- looking for a close on
Wednesday above $195. .
- 52. .
- And so far, what we're seeing in the .
- pre-market, we're not
seeing that just yet. .
- And again, we are looking for
our first close above this bar. .
- And yes, we have traded above it,
but we haven't closed above it. .
- And that's the first thing
we're really looking for. .
- Our last chart of the day is Netflix. .
- Netflix is still on a buy signal here. .
- We've got an early warning signal
yesterday closed in the channel. .
- So we're looking for a close
on Wednesday below $546. .
- 80. .
- Okay, folks, that is all for
this morning's presentation. .
- So far, it looks like we're going to
have a fairly quiet open on Wednesday. .
- Have a great day, folks, and the next time .
- you'll hear my voice
is on Thursday morning. .