- Good morning, everyone.
Welcome to Wednesday morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside
here from TheUpTrend. .
- com In the pre-market this morning,
stock index futures are above fair value. .
- Dow futures currently up 100 points. .
- Commodities are mixed with a crude oil up .
- while gold is down another $3 in
the pre-market on Wednesday morning. .
- Now, yesterday was a big day for the VIX,
and we generated a buy signal on Monday, .
- big fall through to the upside on Tuesday,
and we certainly traded and closed above .
- the $15 level that we
were We're looking for. .
- So yes, I think the market is paying
attention to this move in the VIX. .
- Seasonality, we're right on cue. .
- We're supposed to make a low in the middle .
- of February and then start to move
up, and maybe that started yesterday. .
- We'll just have to wait and see. .
- Now, there's a lot of stuff going on in .
- the market yesterday
besides the stock market. .
- We had Bitcoin making a new high. .
- It ended the day down $815. .
- It's up $2,000 today, making
another new high for this move. .
- We had a big shift in the US Dollar Index .
- moving sharply higher while the Euro and
the rest of the usual suspects, the .
- Australian dollar, Canadian
dollar, all moved lower on the day. .
- Now, we had a huge sell-off in bonds on .
- Tuesday, and of course, that puts pressure
on bond deals, and that's probably what .
- contributed to a lot of the downward
pressure in the stock market yesterday. .
- Now, crude oil continued to move higher. .
- It hasn't taken out the January high just
yet, but we are getting pretty close. .
- Going in the opposite direction. .
- Gold was down over $25 on Tuesday, making .
- a new low for this move and trying
to find support at the $2,000 level. .
- Looking at the major indices, we've got .
- the Dow back on a sell
signal as of Tuesday's close. .
- For the SPY, we're waiting
for a close below $492. .
- 85. .
- On Wednesday, for the triple cues,
we're looking for a close below $426. .
- 82. .
- For the Russell 2000, we're looking
for a close on Wednesday below $193. .
- 74. .
- And for the IWC, for the microcaps,
we're looking for a close below $111. .
- 71 on Wednesday. .
- Now, after having a bullish day on Monday. .
- US Banks pulled back hard on Tuesday, .
- looking to see if we can
hold the recent support. .
- That's also true of the Regional Banks,
which again had a very bullish day on .
- Monday, but no fall through
to the upside on Tuesday. .
- And we came down and looking to see
if we can hold the low from last week. .
- Now, what worked or what
didn't work yesterday? .
- Well, nothing worked. .
- Consumer Discretionary was
the worst performing sector. .
- We've got Consumer Discretionary
still on a buy signal here. .
- That would change on Wednesday
with a close below $175. .
- 26. .
- The biggest loser in the Consumer .
- Discretionary sector was Carmax
trading into the channel. .
- So we're looking for a close
on Wednesday below $71. .
- 50. .
- Next up, let's take a look at the mining
sector, starting with the price of copper, .
- which closed lower on the day
after trading up into the channel. .
- Copper miners made a new low yesterday. .
- Then looking at the price of gold, as we .
- mentioned, it was down over $25
yesterday, trying to hold 2000. .
- And there's the GLD down $2. .
- 58 on Tuesday and trying
to hold the 184 level. .
- Looking at the gold miners, they
were down sharply yesterday. .
- The junior gold Miners were down sharply. .
- And of course, going in the other .
- direction are the bear ETFs
moving sharply higher on Tuesday. .
- Then looking at the price of silver, the
SLV moved lower yesterday, and Silver .
- Miners made a new low
for this move on Tuesday. .
- Let's finish off looking at a couple of .
- the magnificent eight stocks, starting off
with Apple, which had never generated a .
- buy signal, so we're not
waiting for a sell signal. .
- We've been on a sell
signal for a few weeks now. .
- Now we've Microsoft back on a
sell signal as of Tuesday's close. .
- We've got Shopify back on a sell signal, .
- and we've got Tesla back on a
sell signal as of Tuesday's close. .
- So Tesla just lasted a couple
of days, and that was it. .
- And now we're looking to see
if the recent low can hold. .
- Okay, folks, that is all for
this morning's presentation. .
- It looks like we're going to get
a bounce on Wednesday morning. .
- There isn't any real economic numbers
coming out this morning that's going to .
- affect the overall stock market,
so we'll just have to wait and see. .
- But I think today could be a pause day .
- before we start heading
lower again on Thursday. .