- Good morning, everyone, and
welcome to Monday morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside
here from TheUpTrend. .
- com I'll keep this video very short. .
- I know a lot of people have trouble
adjusting to the time change on Monday .
- morning, and so I won't
keep you too long at all. .
- Now, this is a make or
break week for the market. .
- The market had a huge shift on Friday, a
lot of bearish reversal signals, and so .
- we're looking to see if the market
continues to push down from here. .
- Looking at a weekly chart of the VIX, .
- we're still on a sell sell signal that's
supportive for higher stock prices. .
- So right now, coming into Monday's trading .
- action, we're still long
term bullish on the market. .
- That would change if the
VIX were to close above 15. .
- 28 this coming Friday. .
- Now, on a short term basis, we have been .
- short term bearish for the last couple of
days as the VIX has been on a buy signal. .
- That would change on Monday if
the VIX were to close below 13. .
- 70. .
- Now, on Friday, we had a huge move in the .
- market to the downside and
a big bearish reversal day. .
- Lots and lots of bearish reversal
signals from Friday's trading action. .
- Now, these signals come up all the time. .
- And the first thing we look for, of .
- course, is did we close
below the previous day's low? .
- And looking at NVIDIA, you can see
that that is certainly the case. .
- Now, NVIDIA was down over $51 on Friday. .
- It's up $10 in the pre-market
last time I checked. .
- So there is an immediate rush to
sell the stock on Monday morning. .
- We'll just have to wait
and see how the day closes. .
- But on Monday, we're looking
for a closed below $814. .
- 11.
And as I mentioned, there was an enormous .
- amount of bearish reversal
signals on Friday. .
- Amd was another stock that hit a new high .
- and reversed and closed
below the previous day's low. .
- And so there was a lot of wide bar days
on Friday, and that is quite a concern. .
- Certainly no sell signals, but of course,
you've been taking money off the table as .
- these stocks have been rising, so you're
not overly concerned at the moment. .
- There's the SMH
for the semiconductor sector, and as you .
- can see, the whole sector
rolled over on Friday. .
- Now, looking at a weekly chart of the S&P
500, you're not going to see a lot of .
- major changes from last
week's trading activity. .
- We're going to be watching
the daily charts closely. .
- You can see for the SPY, we're still
trading above the upper channel line. .
- The Nasdaq traded into the channel,
looking for a close on Monday below $436. .
- 58 to give Give the triple
Q's a new daily sell signal. .
- Now, the iShares for the TSX-60 made a new .
- high on Friday, closed slightly lower
on the day, so no major change there. .
- Commodity stocks helping
the TSX up last week. .
- Now, the big winner from last week's .
- trading action was
actually the gold miners. .
- In the US, they were up 8.
45%. .
- In Canada, they were up 7. .
- 76%. .
- We also saw silver miners up over 6%, .
- nearly 7% on the week, and copper
miners had a nice big week. .
- Those were the major winners last week,
which is quite unusual for the market. .
- Very helpful for the Canadian market,
not that helpful for the US market. .
- Now, the big losers were
pharmaceuticals and biotechs in the US. .
- In Canada, the big loser was actually the .
- energy sector, which
wasn't down that much. .
- So you can see we're up at
a resistance here at the 17. .
- 19 level, looking for a move up to 18.
75. .
- If we can take out the
highs from last summer. .
- And so far, we have not
been able to do that. .
- And that was previous resistance from the .
- previous year, from October
of the previous year. .
- So that is long term resistance
for the Canadian energy sector. .
- For the USA energy sector, we
were up over 1% on the week. .
- We're stuck here at 87.
50. .
- You can see that last
summer we were up at the 93. .
- 75 level.
That could happen this year as we head .
- towards summer, starting to come out
of the winter, heading towards summer. .
- 93.
75 would be our next target for the XLE. .
- Now, we're almost done here. .
- As I mentioned, I'm going
to keep this one very short. .
- I'm watching a couple
of stocks very closely. .
- Apple had a positive day on
Friday, holding support at 168. .
- 75. .
- If that breaks this week, then we're
looking for a move down to 162. .
- 50.
Then looking at Shopify on the TSX, and we .
- traded through the upper
channel line on Friday. .
- A close above $104. .
- 53 on Monday would give
us a new buy signal. .
- Still trying to hold $100 as support. .
- And then looking at Tesla. .
- Tesla had a down day on Friday. .
- It didn't break down below
the previous day's low. .
- We are looking to hold support
here at the at the 171. .
- 88 level.
If that breaks, then 156. .
- 25 would be our next
target to the downside. .
- It would be very bullish for the market if .
- these stocks were to turn
around and start moving higher. .
- So far, from what we're seeing in the .
- pre-market on Monday, This morning,
that's not likely to happen on Monday. .
- We do have all three of these stocks .
- actually trading slightly higher last
time I checked in the pre-market. .
- And last up this morning, looking at the .
- cover from this week's
Barons, Bet on the Bull. .
- Barons has a history of making huge, huge
mistakes when it comes to market calls. .
- And so a lot of people are wondering,
is this the top for the market? .
- If Barrens is telling you to bet on the
bull, this is probably the time that the .
- market will start to turn
around and head lower. .
- Okay, folks, that is all for
this morning's presentation. .
- Have a great day. .
- Next time, you'll hear my voice
is on Tuesday morning. .
- And at that time, I'm going to take a
closer look at the Canadian gold sector. .