- Good morning, everyone, and
welcome to Thursday morning. .
- It's Stephen Whiteside
here from TheUpTrend. .
- com In the pre-market this
morning, things are fairly quiet. .
- They're quiet ahead of a large number of .
- economic numbers that are going to come
out at 8:30 this morning, .
- and those could certainly change the
direction of the market, but so far, it .
- looks like investors want to do a
little buying on Thursday morning. .
- Starting off, looking
at the TSX Energy Index. .
- This index has been on a run for the last
month, and we are still projecting higher .
- prices here, but we are
coming up to resistance. .
- You can see where we peaked back a few
months ago, just above where we are now. .
- That could certainly be a target and an
area where the market starts to pull back. .
- Now, when we're looking at individual .
- stocks, they should look
pretty similar to this. .
- They should have caught a bid as the index
started to move up, and they should have .
- been making new highs over
the past couple of days. .
- So we'll have to see if that's the case. .
- We'll take a look at some individual
stocks later in the presentation. .
- Looking at price targets, you can see we
are coming up to our next price target, .
- and that's where we peaked
out back in November. .
- Of course, we are projecting higher prices .
- here, so we could break
through that level and head up. .
- You can see on the weekly chart that 281. .
- 25 would be our next weekly target. .
- We did struggle to get up to that level .
- back in the fall of last year, and at
the fall of 2022, we started to fade. .
- We were able to trade above that level
back in the summer of 2022, but it's been .
- a while since we've been
back up at these levels. .
- Now, one of the most actively traded
ETFs in Canada is the iShares XEG. .
- It's one of the most popular ways to play .
- the energy sector if you don't
want to be a stock picker. .
- And as you can see, it's looking pretty .
- similar to the index, making a
new closing high for this move. .
- We are coming up to the 17.
58 level. .
- That's where we peaked out
back in early November. .
- The top of our projected trading
range on this chart is 17. .
- 97, and so that is certainly
a legitimate target. .
- If we can take that out,
then a possible run up to 18. .
- 75 could happen, and we peaked out
there back in the summer of 2022. .
- Now, the iShares ETF is an unleveraged .
- ETF, so it's going to trade pretty
similar to the index It was up 1. .
- 81% yesterday. .
- The way I prefer to trade this sector is .
- to use the 2X Horizons BetaPro
XEU ETF, and it was up 3. .
- 52%, as you would expect yesterday. .
- It's looking pretty similar
to the index itself. .
- Our next price target is 29. .
- 69, and that's where we peaked
out back in early November. .
- Now, of course, when we get a sell signal
in the Bull ETF, the 2X Bull ETF, we can .
- always roll over and look at the
possibility of buying the 2X Bear ETF, .
- which could certainly come into play at
some time in the not-so-distant future. .
- Now, looking at individual stocks, again, .
- they should look pretty
similar to the index. .
- They should have caught a bid
when the index caught a bid, and they .
- should be making new highs for this move
as TC Energy is doing. .
- But we're going to look to see how
similar they to the index themselves. .
- There's Suncor making a new high for this
move, a new high for Canadian Natural .
- Resources, a new high for
Crescent Point yesterday. .
- There's a new high for Synovus. .
- And anything that's trading in the channel .
- or dipping into the channel, we want to
be concerned about a possible sell signal. .
- That is certainly not the case
for Cenovus on Thursday morning. .
- There's a new high for Pembina. .
- Unfortunately, Baytex rolled over a
couple of weeks ago, and it's coming back. .
- It traded up to the upper channel line .
- yesterday, so we're looking for
a close on Thursday above $4. .
- 41. .
- Then looking at Athabasca, we
made a new high a few days ago. .
- Potential for a sell signal on
Thursday with a close below $4. .
- 98. .
- A similar situation for Whitecap, we're
looking for a close on Thursday below $9. .
- 46.
Then looking at Embridge, new high for .
- this move, and it It looks like we
had a bearish reversal day yesterday. .
- We made a new high and rolled over, closed
slightly lower on the day, did not close .
- below the previous day's low, so I
wouldn't be overly concerned just yet. .
- Then looking at Tamarack, we traded
in the channel for a couple of days. .
- Closed below 341 on Thursday would
give us a new sell signal for Tamarack. .
- And last up this morning, MEG Energy
making a new closing high for this move. .
- Now, if you haven't heard the lecture .
- before, You want to make sure you've
been taking money off the table. .
- If you haven't already done so, then .
- Thursday would probably
be a good day to do so. .
- I would never completely liquidate a .
- winning position, but stocks
fall faster than they rise. .
- A lot of times when we get up to these .
- levels where we've seen previous selling,
you want to make sure that you've tucked .
- some money back in your own pocket
before the market takes it away from you. .
- Again, we have no sell signals coming into .
- Thursday's trading action, so there's
absolutely no reason to completely .
- liquidate a position in the
energy sector on Thursday morning. .
- Okay, folks, that is all for
this morning's presentation. .
- Hey, I've got a favor to ask. .
- I've been sick for the last month and .
- unable to donate blood, and if you
wouldn't mind stepping up for me and .
- filling in and donating blood this
week, I would really appreciate it. .
- And I certainly know that those people .
- that are expecting or unexpected expecting
to have surgery this week would also .
- appreciate any blood
donation you can make. .
- That's all for today's
presentation, folks. .
- Have a great day.
Next time you'll hear my voice is on .
- Friday morning, and at that time, we'll
take a look at the North American markets. .