Stock Market Timing Television - 20221115
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    • 00:00:00
      Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Tuesday morning.
    • 00:00:03
      It's Stephen Whiteside here from theuptrend.com in the pre market
    • 00:00:06
      this morning, things are looking fairly bullish.
    • 00:00:08
      We've got the Dow futures up about 200 points.
    • 00:00:11
      Commodities are mixed,
    • 00:00:13
      natural gas and gold are higher, while crude oil is lower on Tuesday morning.
    • 00:00:18
      Well, Monday was an interesting day.
    • 00:00:20
      The Dow diamonds, the SPY ETF,
    • 00:00:23
      and the Q's for the Nasdaq all made new highs and then closed lower on the day.
    • 00:00:29
      So they all generated bearish reversal signals.
    • 00:00:31
      What they didn't do is they didn't close below the previous day's low.
    • 00:00:35
      That would have been a much more of a bearish signal.
    • 00:00:39
      Now, the Canadian market did not make
    • 00:00:41
      a new high yesterday and did close below the previous day's low.
    • 00:00:45
      So things looking a little weaker there for both the TSX and the TSX 60.
    • 00:00:51
      Now, while the stock index futures pulled back yesterday,
    • 00:00:53
      we saw the VIX close slightly higher still closing below the lower channel line.
    • 00:00:59
      So not concerned on Tuesday.
    • 00:01:01
      Things, of course, would change if the VIX were to close above $26.24 on the weekend.
    • 00:01:08
      We talked about following the US dollar index.
    • 00:01:10
      It closed slightly higher yesterday inside day, no major changes there.
    • 00:01:15
      And then the Chinese market has come back quite a bit over the last week or so.
    • 00:01:21
      We're looking at the eye shares for the Hong Kong market.
    • 00:01:24
      You can see the gaps on the screen.
    • 00:01:26
      You expect to see gaps in charts for anything that is traded
    • 00:01:30
      in North America that is following something overseas.
    • 00:01:33
      You've always got that time gap
    • 00:01:36
      which shows up in the charts as a nice big white space.
    • 00:01:39
      So we've seen a huge recovery in the Chinese market.
    • 00:01:43
      A lot of it has to do with the rumors
    • 00:01:45
      that they're going to reduce the COVID restrictions and there might do something
    • 00:01:49
      about all the banking problems that they've got.
    • 00:01:52
      And one of the biggest problems they have,
    • 00:01:54
      which they're not able to really do much about, is the water shortage.
    • 00:01:58
      There's a huge drought in China and that is not only affecting drinking
    • 00:02:03
      water, but a lot of their electricity comes from hydroelectric dams.
    • 00:02:07
      And with the river levels at historic
    • 00:02:11
      lows, that seems to be a problem at the moment.
    • 00:02:14
      So we may see some huge blackouts in China over the winter.
    • 00:02:19
      Now, looking at what's going on this
    • 00:02:21
      morning, well, Walmart is out with earnings.
    • 00:02:23
      And Walmart came into today on a sell signal, generated a sell signal four days
    • 00:02:28
      ago, and you can see yesterday they traded it down with the rest of the market.
    • 00:02:32
      In the pre market this morning, we are up over the 43.75 resistance level,
    • 00:02:37
      which has held us in check for the past few weeks.
    • 00:02:40
      And we're up there at 47.66 last time I checked.
    • 00:02:44
      Of course, that number fluctuates every
    • 00:02:46
      second, but we're getting pretty close to the 150 level,
    • 00:02:49
      which is not only a daily target, but it's also a weekly target.
    • 00:02:55
      While Walmart is up.
    • 00:02:56
      Some of the other retailers are also trading higher this morning.
    • 00:02:59
      Target, TJ, Maxx, they're all up in the pre market.
    • 00:03:03
      What's not working in the pre market, or should I say what is not consistently
    • 00:03:07
      working in the pre market this morning is Home Depot.
    • 00:03:10
      Last time I blinked, it was down.
    • 00:03:12
      It's been up, it's been all over the place this morning.
    • 00:03:15
      So Home Depot may open lower on Tuesday,
    • 00:03:19
      but not enough to give us a new cell signal.
    • 00:03:23
      Now, chips have done really well over the last couple of weeks, and of course,
    • 00:03:28
      I love watching the chip sector move higher.
    • 00:03:30
      That is inspirational.
    • 00:03:32
      This morning we find out
    • 00:03:33
      that Warren Buffett's company has put $4 billion into Taiwan Semiconductor.
    • 00:03:38
      And that news
    • 00:03:40
      has taken Taiwan Semiconductor up over 10% in the pre market this morning.
    • 00:03:46
      So obviously Warren Buffett's not worried about China invading Taiwan anytime soon.
    • 00:03:51
      Let's finish off with a quick look at commodities and crude oil.
    • 00:03:55
      Still on a sell signal.
    • 00:03:56
      Trading lower in the pre market this morning.
    • 00:03:58
      Inside day yesterday for natural gas trading higher in the pre market.
    • 00:04:03
      Then we've got copper making a new high yesterday before pulling back.
    • 00:04:06
      That's a bearish reversal.
    • 00:04:07
      Day again, not closing below the previous days low.
    • 00:04:11
      There's gold making a new high yesterday.
    • 00:04:15
      Gold's getting up, trying to take out the 1781.25 level.
    • 00:04:20
      If we can do that.
    • 00:04:21
      If you look over to the left, you can see in August we had a nice
    • 00:04:25
      cluster of resistance up there between 1781.25 and 1812.50.
    • 00:04:32
      So gold may struggle to move higher from here unless there is a major event.
    • 00:04:37
      And there's silver making a new closing high yesterday,
    • 00:04:40
      getting pretty close to the 22.50 level, which is our next target to the upside.
    • 00:04:46
      Okay, folks, that's all for Tuesday morning.
    • 00:04:48
      Looking for higher prices today.
    • 00:04:50
      Everybody seems to be happy.
    • 00:04:52
      I hope you have a happy day.
    • 00:04:53
      Next time you'll hear my voice is on Wednesday morning.

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