Stock Market Timing Television - 20221122
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    • 00:00:00
      Well, good morning everyone, and welcome to Tuesday Morning.
    • 00:00:02
      It's Stephen Whiteside here from theuptrend.com in the premarket
    • 00:00:06
      this morning, stock index futures are slightly above fair value.
    • 00:00:09
      So, so far it looks like we're gonna see
    • 00:00:11
      some buying at the Open on Tuesday morning.
    • 00:00:13
      Now, this is a holiday shortened week, so we're expecting to have a slight
    • 00:00:18
      bullish buyer by us going into the long weekend.
    • 00:00:20
      Things should get very quiet on Wednesdays.
    • 00:00:22
      A lot of people use Wednesday as a travel day.
    • 00:00:25
      The US markets are going to be closed on Thursday, open a half day on Friday.
    • 00:00:29
      We're going to be taking advantage of that and taking off on Thursday and Friday.
    • 00:00:34
      We'll be back on Saturday with our weekend update.
    • 00:00:38
      Looking at the VIX, we traded down to last
    • 00:00:40
      week's lows yesterday, looking for a close on Tuesday above 25.30.
    • 00:00:45
      The US dollar index going in the opposite
    • 00:00:47
      direction, trading up into the channel, looking for a close above 108.57.
    • 00:00:52
      So there's two indicators moving in the opposite direction.
    • 00:00:56
      Then looking at Tesla, tesla making a new low yesterday,
    • 00:00:59
      so we're probably looking at the Peter Principle in play here.
    • 00:01:02
      Obviously it's not Tesla having the problem, it's Twitter.
    • 00:01:06
      And Elon Musk is certainly having a hell
    • 00:01:10
      of a time trying to get a handle on Twitter.
    • 00:01:13
      Now, Home Capital was up 57% yesterday,
    • 00:01:16
      so congratulations to anyone who owns Home Capital.
    • 00:01:20
      Not a stock I've ever been involved in.
    • 00:01:22
      If I was in this situation and I walked in today and saw this nice big gap up,
    • 00:01:29
      I would be certainly taking money off the table today and walking away.
    • 00:01:34
      Looking at the I shares for the TSX 60, we traded down to the lower channel line
    • 00:01:37
      yesterday, looking for a close below 30.35 on Tuesday.
    • 00:01:42
      It was the energy stocks that really put a damper on the Canadian market yesterday.
    • 00:01:48
      Wilde traded all the way down to $16
    • 00:01:50
      before recovering, but still closing below the lower channel line,
    • 00:01:54
      so giving us a new sell signal on Monday for the energy sector.
    • 00:01:59
      At gold stocks trading water yesterday, so still on a buy signal, no change there.
    • 00:02:04
      And healthcare was down sharply yesterday.
    • 00:02:06
      Back on a sell signal.
    • 00:02:07
      You can see that we made a low back in July, we made a high back in August,
    • 00:02:12
      and we've been trading between those two levels ever since.
    • 00:02:15
      Looking at the US market, it's very quiet yesterday.
    • 00:02:17
      There's the Dow still sitting above the upper channel line.
    • 00:02:21
      We've got the SPY sitting right
    • 00:02:23
      on the channel, and we've got the Nasdaq trading back in the channel.
    • 00:02:26
      So looking for a closed blow, 278.13.
    • 00:02:29
      Not very concerned about that from what
    • 00:02:32
      we're seeing in the Premarket this morning.
    • 00:02:34
      And then there's the eyeshares for the Russell 2000.
    • 00:02:36
      Riding the lower channel line, looking for a close blow, 181.58.
    • 00:02:42
      Then. What worked yesterday?
    • 00:02:43
      Well, consumer staples were the big winners.
    • 00:02:46
      The big losers were energy services
    • 00:02:48
      and the semiconductors trading right at the upper channel line.
    • 00:02:53
      Let's finish off looking at commodity prices, starting with the metals.
    • 00:02:57
      Copper's down again.
    • 00:02:58
      So, second day of a sell signal for copper.
    • 00:03:01
      Gold was down again yesterday.
    • 00:03:03
      We need a close below 1744.99 trading slightly higher in the pre market this morning.
    • 00:03:09
      And then silver sitting right on the edge of a new cell signal, a closed below 21.02
    • 00:03:13
      would do that for us on Tuesday.
    • 00:03:17
      Looking at energy,
    • 00:03:18
      crude oil went all the way down to $75. 75.27, I believe was the low and reversed.
    • 00:03:25
      And so 75 still acting as support for crude oil.
    • 00:03:29
      The natural gas traded higher yesterday.
    • 00:03:31
      We're trying to break out of the high from a couple of weeks ago.
    • 00:03:34
      If we can do that, look two lines up.
    • 00:03:36
      That takes us up to 8.59 And 8.59.
    • 00:03:40
      Yes, there's lots of support up there
    • 00:03:43
      at 8.59, which should act as resistance on the way back up.
    • 00:03:48
      Okay, folks, that's all for this morning's presentation.
    • 00:03:51
      Expecting a fairly quiet day on Tuesday. Have a great day.
    • 00:03:54
      Next time you'll hear my voice is on Wednesday morning.

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