Stock Market Timing Television - 06212023
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    • 00:00:00
      Good morning everyone and welcome to Wednesday morning.
    • 00:00:03
      It's Stephen Whiteside here in the pre
    • 00:00:05
      market this morning things are fairly quiet.
    • 00:00:07
      Stock index futures are slightly below
    • 00:00:09
      fair value, but not enough that anyone will notice.
    • 00:00:13
      Commodities are also mixed and very quiet in the pre market, so not looking for a
    • 00:00:17
      lot of excitement at 9:30 Wednesday morning.
    • 00:00:21
      Now the VIX moved up yesterday, but not enough to give us buy signal.
    • 00:00:25
      That would happen on Wednesday with a
    • 00:00:27
      close above 15.03. And of course if that were to happen, that would change our
    • 00:00:33
      outlook on the market from short term bullish to short term bearish.
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      Now the VIX of the VIX is on a buy signal
    • 00:00:40
      right now and moved away from the channel yesterday.
    • 00:00:43
      So that could be an early warning signal.
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      We'll just have to keep an eye on that.
    • 00:00:48
      Now the Dow was down just under three
    • 00:00:50
      quarters of a percent yesterday, it traded and closed in the channel.
    • 00:00:54
      So we certainly have a mathematical
    • 00:00:56
      possibility of a sell signal on Wednesday with a close below 338 three.
    • 00:01:02
      Then what didn't work on the Dow?
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      Well, the biggest loser was intel with a big outside reversal day.
    • 00:01:08
      We saw some aggressive selling in Nike
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      which pulled us back into the channel, and some very aggressive selling in Boeing,
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      which is now back on a daily sell signal as of Tuesday's close.
    • 00:01:20
      The S&P 500 was down on the day just a little over half a percent.
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      Still trading and closing above the upper channel line.
    • 00:01:27
      The Nasdaq on the other hand, was down just a little over a quarter of a percent.
    • 00:01:32
      And those big cap tech stocks are still holding us up.
    • 00:01:36
      Semiconductors pulled back into the
    • 00:01:38
      channel, so a close below 212.16 would give us a sell signal on Wednesday and
    • 00:01:43
      that certainly wouldn't help the overall market.
    • 00:01:47
      Nvidia and Tesla both closed higher on the
    • 00:01:50
      day, new closing high for Nvidia and a big new closing high for Tesla.
    • 00:01:56
      Then looking at regional banks, they are
    • 00:01:58
      back on a sell signal as of Tuesday's close.
    • 00:02:01
      And of course we're not trading the
    • 00:02:03
      regional banks, we're just keeping an eye on them.
    • 00:02:05
      But yeah, we're back on a sell signal.
    • 00:02:07
      Not a good sign for the overall market.
    • 00:02:10
      Now looking at the Canadian market, we are
    • 00:02:12
      back on a sell signal as of Tuesday's close.
    • 00:02:15
      Being Led lowered by gold stocks, followed by materials, then the energy sector and
    • 00:02:21
      then the global mining stocks all pulled back yesterday.
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      So commodities not helping the Canadian market at all.
    • 00:02:29
      Now looking at gold stocks, the biggest
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      one of course is Barrack, which made a new closing low yesterday.
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      We also saw a big aggressive selling in Wheaton.
    • 00:02:39
      Then looking at Manual Life, the most
    • 00:02:41
      actively traded stock on Monday, we were looking to see if it could hold $25.
    • 00:02:45
      It did not.
    • 00:02:46
      So looking for Manual life to continue lower from here.
    • 00:02:49
      And the most actively traded stock
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      yesterday was CIBC, which is now back on a sell signal as of Tuesday's close.
    • 00:02:56
      We also saw Suncor sell off.
    • 00:02:58
      It is also back on a sell signal as of Tuesday's close.
    • 00:03:02
      Now we've been keeping a close eye on the TD bank, which is still on a buy signal.
    • 00:03:06
      And of course it moved up to the top of the open gap and started to pull back.
    • 00:03:11
      Not an aggressive pullback so far on
    • 00:03:15
      Wednesday we're looking for a close below 79.19, otherwise we're looking to see if
    • 00:03:20
      we can break out above 81.25. Let's finish off today's presentation.
    • 00:03:25
      Looking at commodity prices and we saw a
    • 00:03:28
      small pullback for copper, but still on a buy signal.
    • 00:03:31
      No change there.
    • 00:03:33
      Gold had a new closing low yesterday, so
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      we are down a couple of dollars in the pre market, but not aggressive selling.
    • 00:03:40
      Then looking at silver.
    • 00:03:42
      Silver rolled over on Tuesday.
    • 00:03:43
      It had been on a buy signal for the month of June and that ended yesterday.
    • 00:03:49
      Then looking at the energy sector, we had a small pullback in crude oil.
    • 00:03:53
      No change in trend.
    • 00:03:54
      And a big reversal day for natural gas.
    • 00:03:58
      Putting in a bearish reversal.
    • 00:04:00
      That's where we topped back in May with a bearish reversal signal.
    • 00:04:04
      The pros did take control.
    • 00:04:06
      Natural gas is actually up in the pre market this morning.
    • 00:04:09
      Not enough to erase yesterday's losses,
    • 00:04:12
      but we're not seeing continuation to the downside on Wednesday morning.
    • 00:04:16
      And then looking at corn.
    • 00:04:18
      Corn to making a new high yesterday before closing unchanged.
    • 00:04:22
      And Wheat moved up and made a new high for this move on Tuesday.
    • 00:04:27
      Okay folks, that is all for this morning's presentation.
    • 00:04:30
      We're looking for a fairly quiet open at 9:30 Wednesday morning.
    • 00:04:35
      Have a great day.
    • 00:04:36
      Next time you'll hear my voice is on Thursday morning.

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