Stock Market Timing Television - 06062023
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    • 00:00:00
      Good Morning, everyone, and welcome to Tuesday morning.
    • 00:00:03
      It's Stephen White side here from theuptrend.com.
    • 00:00:06
      In the premarket this morning, things are fairly quiet.
    • 00:00:09
      Stock index futures are trading right around unchanged.
    • 00:00:12
      Commodities are mixed with crude oil lower
    • 00:00:15
      while gold is higher in the premarket on Tuesday morning.
    • 00:00:19
      Well, Monday turned out to be an inside day for the VIX.
    • 00:00:22
      Inside days, of course, are days of indecision or pause days.
    • 00:00:26
      The market is waiting for more information.
    • 00:00:29
      On Tuesday, we're looking for a close
    • 00:00:31
      above 18.09 to give us a new buy signal for the VIX.
    • 00:00:34
      That, of course, would be very negative for stocks.
    • 00:00:37
      Now, it still looks like the chip sector put in a blow off top last week.
    • 00:00:42
      We haven't seen a lot of major damage to the downside.
    • 00:00:45
      The stocks index is still trading and closing above the upper channel line.
    • 00:00:50
      So is NVIDIA.
    • 00:00:51
      Obviously, $400 has turned out to be an area of resistance for NVIDIA.
    • 00:00:57
      It did trade above it, then pulled back fairly quickly.
    • 00:01:00
      So we're not near a sell signal for NVIDIA on Tuesday.
    • 00:01:04
      Now, not all chip stocks moved up last week.
    • 00:01:07
      It was mostly focused on those big cap
    • 00:01:09
      ones that everybody has been following, but not all the boats went up.
    • 00:01:14
      Amd closed at the upper channel line
    • 00:01:16
      yesterday, so closed below 113.51 on Tuesday would give us a sell signal.
    • 00:01:22
      Inside day yesterday for Applied Materials and for Broadcom, we saw a little more
    • 00:01:27
      weakness for Marvell, so it closed below 53.
    • 00:01:29
      33 on Tuesday would give us a sell signal.
    • 00:01:33
      And then Intel came down hard yesterday looking for a close below 29.
    • 00:01:38
      32 on Tuesday to give us a sell signal for Intel.
    • 00:01:43
      Now looking at the triple Qs, you can see
    • 00:01:45
      we made a new high yesterday before pulling back.
    • 00:01:48
      We were trying to get to 359.38. The
    • 00:01:51
      high yesterday was just a couple of dollars away from that.
    • 00:01:54
      So we're getting pretty close to our next price target.
    • 00:01:57
      For the S&P 500, we are trying to get to
    • 00:02:03
      429.69. We got as high as 429.62 before we started to pull back.
    • 00:02:09
      Then looking at the right side chart, you
    • 00:02:12
      can see we're still well above the upper channel line.
    • 00:02:13
      So not concerned about a sell signal on Tuesday.
    • 00:02:19
      Then looking at the iSharers for the TSX 60, we opened nicely higher.
    • 00:02:23
      We traded up through the upper channel
    • 00:02:25
      line and then we gave up those gains and closed lower on the day.
    • 00:02:29
      So not a happy day for the TSX.
    • 00:02:32
      We tried to trade up into that open gap and then saw sellers come in.
    • 00:02:36
      Looking at who's in control, you can see
    • 00:02:39
      the pros are not that interested in taking control of the TSX at this time.
    • 00:02:44
      Compare that chart to the Nasdaq and you
    • 00:02:46
      can see the pros have been in control of the Nasdaq for quite a while.
    • 00:02:51
      Looking at US financials, intertwined at the moment.
    • 00:02:55
      Compare that to Canadian financials that
    • 00:02:57
      look a little weaker and Canadian banks also looking weak at the present time.
    • 00:03:02
      That's one of the reasons we've got the divergence between what we're seeing in
    • 00:03:06
      the US market and what we're seeing in the Canadian market.
    • 00:03:10
      Looking at a couple of the Canadian most actively traded stocks from Monday's
    • 00:03:14
      trading action, we can start off by just looking at the commodities.
    • 00:03:18
      Now, gold was up yesterday.
    • 00:03:19
      It was up $4.70. It's up about the similar amount this morning.
    • 00:03:25
      We need a close above 1997.30. We're getting back up towards the
    • 00:03:30
      $2,000 level, which could now act as resistance.
    • 00:03:34
      Crude oil had a wild day yesterday.
    • 00:03:36
      It was up the previous two days in a row,
    • 00:03:39
      and yesterday it actually closed higher on the day after giving up most of its gains.
    • 00:03:44
      It is down in the premarket this morning,
    • 00:03:47
      so we may not see a buy signal for crude oil on Tuesday.
    • 00:03:51
      Natural gas was up yesterday, still
    • 00:03:53
      trading below the lower channel line, but at least it was up on the day.
    • 00:03:58
      Now looking at Suncor, second day of a buy
    • 00:04:01
      signal, we pulled back after making a new high trading up to the $40 level.
    • 00:04:05
      Got as high as 39.95 before pulling back.
    • 00:04:09
      So a little resistance there at the $40 level.
    • 00:04:12
      This is a very bearish chart.
    • 00:04:15
      You can see the high up here.
    • 00:04:16
      Then we've made lower highs.
    • 00:04:18
      We made a low here.
    • 00:04:19
      We made lower lows.
    • 00:04:21
      If 3750 breaks, then 34.
    • 00:04:23
      38 does come into play.
    • 00:04:26
      Then looking at Canadian Natural
    • 00:04:28
      Resources, we closed lower on the day, so no buy signal there.
    • 00:04:32
      Next up, we're looking at Rogers.
    • 00:04:34
      Rogers put in a new low on Friday.
    • 00:04:37
      The market tried to claw its way back on Monday, but was unsuccessful.
    • 00:04:42
      We actually closed lower on the day.
    • 00:04:45
      Now, when we look at the moving averages,
    • 00:04:47
      you can see that none of them are acting as support any longer for Rogers.
    • 00:04:51
      And you can see we're projecting down here to below $54.
    • 00:04:55
      That could be significant going forward.
    • 00:04:58
      We've broken through the fly paper channel.
    • 00:05:00
      We've broken through a recent support up there at $60.
    • 00:05:04
      And if we continue to look back
    • 00:05:06
      to the left, you'll notice an open gap back there from the fall of 2022.
    • 00:05:13
      And that takes us down to below $54.
    • 00:05:17
      Next up, we're looking at Crescent Point, which popped on Monday.
    • 00:05:21
      Not overly confident.
    • 00:05:23
      It popped a couple of weeks ago, ran into the moving averages and reversed.
    • 00:05:28
      I think that's what's going to happen again this time.
    • 00:05:31
      Then we've got Enbridge.
    • 00:05:32
      Enbridge had a couple of big up days over the last Thursday and Friday, and we
    • 00:05:38
      continued to hire yesterday but lost it all going into the close.
    • 00:05:42
      So we put in a bearish reversal day yesterday.
    • 00:05:45
      The pros are not interested in taking control of this stock at the present time.
    • 00:05:49
      So I don't think this buy signal is going to last very long.
    • 00:05:54
      Looking at US stocks, different picture altogether.
    • 00:05:56
      We had Tesla making a new high yesterday.
    • 00:05:59
      Our next price target is 225.
    • 00:06:01
      We may not be able to get there, but if we can, hopefully, you've got an order
    • 00:06:05
      in up at that level to lock in some more profits.
    • 00:06:08
      Then we've got Apple making a big reversal day.
    • 00:06:11
      Apple is having its Worldwide Developers
    • 00:06:14
      Conference right now and had a big product announcement yesterday.
    • 00:06:18
      So of course, it's always by the rumors, s o the news.
    • 00:06:21
      We're trying to hit 187.50, have not been able to do that so far.
    • 00:06:26
      If we look at what happened yesterday, we
    • 00:06:28
      did get as high as 184.95, came back and closed below 180.
    • 00:06:34
      If we go back in time, the previous high was back there
    • 00:06:39
      just before the end of 2021, up at 182.94. So we traded through that level
    • 00:06:45
      but could not hold it going into the close.
    • 00:06:49
      Then looking at Palantir.
    • 00:06:51
      Palantir used to be a $45 stock.
    • 00:06:54
      It's now trading over $15.
    • 00:06:56
      We're trying to get to 1563.
    • 00:06:58
      We got as high as 1570.
    • 00:07:01
      So if you had an order in there at 1563,
    • 00:07:03
      it got filled yesterday, so congratulations.
    • 00:07:06
      Then looking at SoFi, another stock that's gone up sharply over the past week.
    • 00:07:11
      And then looking up, our next price target is 781.
    • 00:07:14
      If you look to the left, you'll see we
    • 00:07:16
      peaked up at that level back at the start of the year.
    • 00:07:19
      So it's still a legitimate target to the upside.
    • 00:07:23
      Then looking at C3AI, this stock has had
    • 00:07:27
      an incredible run over the last month, up over 100 %.
    • 00:07:31
      We peaked last week.
    • 00:07:33
      We got just over the 43.75 level.
    • 00:07:36
      So congratulations.
    • 00:07:37
      If you had an order in up there, it got filled and now we've come back down to two
    • 00:07:42
      lines trying to find support at the 31.25 level.
    • 00:07:48
      Okay, folks, that is all for this morning's presentation.
    • 00:07:50
      Still looking for a quiet open on Tuesday morning.
    • 00:07:53
      Enjoy the rest of your day.
    • 00:07:55
      Next time you'll hear my voice is on Wednesday morning.

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