-
00:00:00Good Morning, everyone, and welcome to Tuesday morning.
-
00:00:03It's Stephen White side here from theuptrend.com.
-
00:00:06In the premarket this morning, things are fairly quiet.
-
00:00:09Stock index futures are trading right around unchanged.
-
00:00:12Commodities are mixed with crude oil lower
-
00:00:15while gold is higher in the premarket on Tuesday morning.
-
00:00:19Well, Monday turned out to be an inside day for the VIX.
-
00:00:22Inside days, of course, are days of indecision or pause days.
-
00:00:26The market is waiting for more information.
-
00:00:29On Tuesday, we're looking for a close
-
00:00:31above 18.09 to give us a new buy signal for the VIX.
-
00:00:34That, of course, would be very negative for stocks.
-
00:00:37Now, it still looks like the chip sector put in a blow off top last week.
-
00:00:42We haven't seen a lot of major damage to the downside.
-
00:00:45The stocks index is still trading and closing above the upper channel line.
-
00:00:50So is NVIDIA.
-
00:00:51Obviously, $400 has turned out to be an area of resistance for NVIDIA.
-
00:00:57It did trade above it, then pulled back fairly quickly.
-
00:01:00So we're not near a sell signal for NVIDIA on Tuesday.
-
00:01:04Now, not all chip stocks moved up last week.
-
00:01:07It was mostly focused on those big cap
-
00:01:09ones that everybody has been following, but not all the boats went up.
-
00:01:14Amd closed at the upper channel line
-
00:01:16yesterday, so closed below 113.51 on Tuesday would give us a sell signal.
-
00:01:22Inside day yesterday for Applied Materials and for Broadcom, we saw a little more
-
00:01:27weakness for Marvell, so it closed below 53.
-
00:01:2933 on Tuesday would give us a sell signal.
-
00:01:33And then Intel came down hard yesterday looking for a close below 29.
-
00:01:3832 on Tuesday to give us a sell signal for Intel.
-
00:01:43Now looking at the triple Qs, you can see
-
00:01:45we made a new high yesterday before pulling back.
-
00:01:48We were trying to get to 359.38. The
-
00:01:51high yesterday was just a couple of dollars away from that.
-
00:01:54So we're getting pretty close to our next price target.
-
00:01:57For the S&P 500, we are trying to get to
-
00:02:03429.69. We got as high as 429.62 before we started to pull back.
-
00:02:09Then looking at the right side chart, you
-
00:02:12can see we're still well above the upper channel line.
-
00:02:13So not concerned about a sell signal on Tuesday.
-
00:02:19Then looking at the iSharers for the TSX 60, we opened nicely higher.
-
00:02:23We traded up through the upper channel
-
00:02:25line and then we gave up those gains and closed lower on the day.
-
00:02:29So not a happy day for the TSX.
-
00:02:32We tried to trade up into that open gap and then saw sellers come in.
-
00:02:36Looking at who's in control, you can see
-
00:02:39the pros are not that interested in taking control of the TSX at this time.
-
00:02:44Compare that chart to the Nasdaq and you
-
00:02:46can see the pros have been in control of the Nasdaq for quite a while.
-
00:02:51Looking at US financials, intertwined at the moment.
-
00:02:55Compare that to Canadian financials that
-
00:02:57look a little weaker and Canadian banks also looking weak at the present time.
-
00:03:02That's one of the reasons we've got the divergence between what we're seeing in
-
00:03:06the US market and what we're seeing in the Canadian market.
-
00:03:10Looking at a couple of the Canadian most actively traded stocks from Monday's
-
00:03:14trading action, we can start off by just looking at the commodities.
-
00:03:18Now, gold was up yesterday.
-
00:03:19It was up $4.70. It's up about the similar amount this morning.
-
00:03:25We need a close above 1997.30. We're getting back up towards the
-
00:03:30$2,000 level, which could now act as resistance.
-
00:03:34Crude oil had a wild day yesterday.
-
00:03:36It was up the previous two days in a row,
-
00:03:39and yesterday it actually closed higher on the day after giving up most of its gains.
-
00:03:44It is down in the premarket this morning,
-
00:03:47so we may not see a buy signal for crude oil on Tuesday.
-
00:03:51Natural gas was up yesterday, still
-
00:03:53trading below the lower channel line, but at least it was up on the day.
-
00:03:58Now looking at Suncor, second day of a buy
-
00:04:01signal, we pulled back after making a new high trading up to the $40 level.
-
00:04:05Got as high as 39.95 before pulling back.
-
00:04:09So a little resistance there at the $40 level.
-
00:04:12This is a very bearish chart.
-
00:04:15You can see the high up here.
-
00:04:16Then we've made lower highs.
-
00:04:18We made a low here.
-
00:04:19We made lower lows.
-
00:04:21If 3750 breaks, then 34.
-
00:04:2338 does come into play.
-
00:04:26Then looking at Canadian Natural
-
00:04:28Resources, we closed lower on the day, so no buy signal there.
-
00:04:32Next up, we're looking at Rogers.
-
00:04:34Rogers put in a new low on Friday.
-
00:04:37The market tried to claw its way back on Monday, but was unsuccessful.
-
00:04:42We actually closed lower on the day.
-
00:04:45Now, when we look at the moving averages,
-
00:04:47you can see that none of them are acting as support any longer for Rogers.
-
00:04:51And you can see we're projecting down here to below $54.
-
00:04:55That could be significant going forward.
-
00:04:58We've broken through the fly paper channel.
-
00:05:00We've broken through a recent support up there at $60.
-
00:05:04And if we continue to look back
-
00:05:06to the left, you'll notice an open gap back there from the fall of 2022.
-
00:05:13And that takes us down to below $54.
-
00:05:17Next up, we're looking at Crescent Point, which popped on Monday.
-
00:05:21Not overly confident.
-
00:05:23It popped a couple of weeks ago, ran into the moving averages and reversed.
-
00:05:28I think that's what's going to happen again this time.
-
00:05:31Then we've got Enbridge.
-
00:05:32Enbridge had a couple of big up days over the last Thursday and Friday, and we
-
00:05:38continued to hire yesterday but lost it all going into the close.
-
00:05:42So we put in a bearish reversal day yesterday.
-
00:05:45The pros are not interested in taking control of this stock at the present time.
-
00:05:49So I don't think this buy signal is going to last very long.
-
00:05:54Looking at US stocks, different picture altogether.
-
00:05:56We had Tesla making a new high yesterday.
-
00:05:59Our next price target is 225.
-
00:06:01We may not be able to get there, but if we can, hopefully, you've got an order
-
00:06:05in up at that level to lock in some more profits.
-
00:06:08Then we've got Apple making a big reversal day.
-
00:06:11Apple is having its Worldwide Developers
-
00:06:14Conference right now and had a big product announcement yesterday.
-
00:06:18So of course, it's always by the rumors, s o the news.
-
00:06:21We're trying to hit 187.50, have not been able to do that so far.
-
00:06:26If we look at what happened yesterday, we
-
00:06:28did get as high as 184.95, came back and closed below 180.
-
00:06:34If we go back in time, the previous high was back there
-
00:06:39just before the end of 2021, up at 182.94. So we traded through that level
-
00:06:45but could not hold it going into the close.
-
00:06:49Then looking at Palantir.
-
00:06:51Palantir used to be a $45 stock.
-
00:06:54It's now trading over $15.
-
00:06:56We're trying to get to 1563.
-
00:06:58We got as high as 1570.
-
00:07:01So if you had an order in there at 1563,
-
00:07:03it got filled yesterday, so congratulations.
-
00:07:06Then looking at SoFi, another stock that's gone up sharply over the past week.
-
00:07:11And then looking up, our next price target is 781.
-
00:07:14If you look to the left, you'll see we
-
00:07:16peaked up at that level back at the start of the year.
-
00:07:19So it's still a legitimate target to the upside.
-
00:07:23Then looking at C3AI, this stock has had
-
00:07:27an incredible run over the last month, up over 100 %.
-
00:07:31We peaked last week.
-
00:07:33We got just over the 43.75 level.
-
00:07:36So congratulations.
-
00:07:37If you had an order in up there, it got filled and now we've come back down to two
-
00:07:42lines trying to find support at the 31.25 level.
-
00:07:48Okay, folks, that is all for this morning's presentation.
-
00:07:50Still looking for a quiet open on Tuesday morning.
-
00:07:53Enjoy the rest of your day.
-
00:07:55Next time you'll hear my voice is on Wednesday morning.