Stock Market Timing Television - 05052023
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    • 00:00:01
      Good Morning, everyone, and welcome to Friday morning.
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      It's Stephen Whiteside from the uptrend.c
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      om with today's look at North American stock market trends.
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      In the premarket this morning, stock index
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      futures and commodities are trading up above fair value.
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      That has a lot to do with Apple.
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      We'll take a look at that in a second.
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      What we're seeing in the premarket is
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      certainly not going to unwind the damage that has been done so far this week.
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      Let's start off today's presentation looking at some premarket activity.
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      Today it's all about Apple.
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      Now, Apple traded through the lower
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      channel line yesterday, did not close below it.
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      So we're coming into Friday still on a buy
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      signal, currently trading above the recent high from the other day up at 169.48. Of
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      course, that number is fluctuating every second.
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      If we can get over 170, then 175 comes into play.
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      We recently took some money off the table at 168.
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      75.
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      Would love to sell some more shares at 175.
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      Now, Shopify was up in the premarket yesterday.
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      It performed a lot better after the market opened than it was doing in the premarket.
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      Now we came into Thursday's trading action on a new sell signal from Wednesday's
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      close on both the New York and Toronto listing.
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      Of course, if you had an order in to sell, if you actually took that sell order, you
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      would have got filled at the open on the TSX.
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      That was $73 yesterday.
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      If you waived off that sell order, sell
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      signal because you saw that the stock was trading higher in the premarket, then of
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      course you may have had some price targets in.
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      This is the chart from the day before.
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      Our next price target was
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      68.75 followed by the high from early February at 73.03. You may have put an
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      order in up there or you may have put your next order in at 68.
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      75. I hope you had orders in at both places.
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      Then our next target above that was 81.25.
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      Of course, looking three lines up from where we're trading on Wednesday, that is
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      certainly expecting a very aggressive move.
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      What do you know?
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      We almost hit 81.25, got as high as 81.20.
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      If you had an order at 68.75 or 73.03, they certainly got filled at the open.
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      We actually opened at 73 and then very quickly those two orders got filled.
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      Your order at 75 got filled, but if you had an order in at 81.25, we're still
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      waiting to fill that and that could happen on Friday.
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      Now, the midterm chart, of course, gives you a little more breathing room and
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      compare that to the right side chart, you wouldn't have got all the way down to the
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      lower channel line from Wednesday's trading action.
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      We did indicate that we're potentially going to see some weakness there.
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      That, of course, has completely reversed
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      and now we're looking at strength to the upside.
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      Now, Regional Banks continued to move lower yesterday.
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      They were down 5.45 % and making a new low for this move.
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      Looking at our panic zone chart, of
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      course, we look for shorting opportunities off the top of the panic zones.
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      We don't look for shorting opportunities down here.
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      That's when you often see short squeezing
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      take place because the public gets interested in shorting down here.
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      They don't get interested in shorting up here.
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      This is where you make all the money.
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      This is where you take on all the risk.
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      Now, when we look at this regional bank ETF, you can see that we were expecting a
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      bottom here, and the chart started to turn blue, but we couldn't get more money to
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      come back in, which is a good thing as this particular ETF has continued to move
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      lower, it looks like we're setting up to create another Pressure Zone here.
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      So we may be getting close to the bottom, but we're still seeing aggressive selling.
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      Pacwest was down over 50 % yesterday, making a new low for this move.
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      Now, we don't cover all of the Regional Banks that are publicly traded.
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      We try to focus on the ones that were
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      included in any of the major indices or ETFs.
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      We see Comerica down again yesterday, down over 12 %.
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      We've got Zion Bancorp down over 12 %.
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      Bank of California made a new low for this move yesterday, down nearly 7 %.
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      Now, looking at the VIX, the VIX continued to move higher.
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      It is back on a buy signal as of Thursday's close.
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      It is the Nasdaq that's still holding the market up.
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      It is still on a buy signal coming into Friday's trading action.
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      And of course, it is moving up in the premarket for the triple Qs.
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      We're looking for a close below 316.02 on Friday.
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      Next up, let's take a look at the most
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      actively traded stocks from Thursday's trading action.
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      We have already looked at a couple of them.
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      Starting off in New York, we're looking at Advanced Micro Devices.
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      And this is the chart from the second.
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      We actually closed just above the upper channel line.
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      We were looking for a close above 89.78.
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      We closed at 89.91. So that's a buy signal, except you come in the next day
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      and you see that we're going to open up below the lower channel line, so you don't
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      take that buy signal and so you're still sitting short Advanced Micro Devices.
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      Yesterday was a wild day.
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      We traded up, we traded above the upper
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      channel line, but settled down just above the lower channel line.
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      So we're still looking for a close on
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      Friday above 89.44. Looking at PacWest, we already talked about this stock.
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      Then we've got Tesla.
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      Tesla has been trading water for a couple of weeks now.
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      Looking for a close on Friday above 166.71 to give us a buy signal.
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      Shopify, we've already looked at.
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      Then we've got Bank of America making a
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      new low for this move, but not a new low altogether.
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      Then we're looking at Ford still on a sell signal that would change on Friday with a
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      close above $12.08. Then we've got CBS or what's now called
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      Paramount gapping sharply lower yesterday, closing right at the low of the day.
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      So investors very angry at this particular stock.
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      Then we've got Apple, which we talked about.
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      Then we're looking at SoFi, making a new
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      low for this move before recovering, actually closing up on the day.
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      Then we've got KeyCorp, again, another one
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      of the Regional Banks making a new low for this move.
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      Then Wells Fargo making a new low for this move.
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      And our last stock in this list is
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      Carnival, currently on a buy signal, had a wild day yesterday, closed in the channel,
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      looking for a close below $9.12. Next up, let's take a look at the TSX most
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      actively traded stocks from Thursday's trading action.
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      Starting off with Embridge.
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      Embridge is on a sell signal but is not going down easily.
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      Closing back in the channel yesterday, looking for a close on Friday above
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      53.66. Then looking at Shopify, we talked about this earlier.
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      Then next up, we're looking at Suncor,
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      making a new low for this move, taking out the low from March.
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      That's a bearish sign.
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      Then looking at K 92, back on a buy signal as of Thursday's close.
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      Then we've got Barrick making a new high for this move, hitting our next price
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      target at 28.13. Now we're up at the top of the projected trading range.
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      You can either do the math or go to the weekly chart.
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      This chart was published last weekend, so we hit 28.13 yesterday.
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      Now 31.25 is our next target to the upside.
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      Is that a legitimate target?
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      Well, it was where we peaked out back in
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      the spring of 2022, so it's certainly a legitimate target to the upside.
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      Looking at the TD Bank, and of course, we
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      talked about the fact that short sellers have been targeting the TD Bank.
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      Well, they've been targeting it in vain.
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      We traded higher yesterday, traded through
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      the upper channel line, did not close there.
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      We need to close on Friday above 82.55 to give us a buy signal.
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      Cenovus Energy making a new low yesterday
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      before recovering, actually closing up two cents on the day.
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      Then we're looking at both manual life and
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      Sun Life, both back on sell signals as of Thursday's close.
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      Athabasca Oil Sands making a new low for this move.
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      Also seeing a new low for Canadian Natural Resources and a new low for CIBC, which is
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      now starting to trade below the low from March.
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      Okay, folks, that's all for me for this morning.
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      Next time you'll hear my voice is on the weekend.
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      Have a great day, have a great weekend, and we'll talk to you again soon. you..

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