Canadian Stock Market Outlook 02152024
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    • 00:00:00
      Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Thursday morning.
    • 00:00:03
      It's Stephen Whiteside here from TheUpTrend.
    • 00:00:05
      com In the pre-market this morning, stock index futures are above fair value.
    • 00:00:09
      Commodities are mixed with crude oil,
    • 00:00:11
      lower, while gold is higher by $3 in the pre-market.
    • 00:00:14
      Now, we do have a lot of economic numbers
    • 00:00:17
      coming out at 8:30 this morning, including retail sales and jobless claims, and that
    • 00:00:21
      could certainly add to the pre-market volatility.
    • 00:00:25
      Starting off, looking at the VIX, which spiked sharply sharply higher on on
    • 00:00:30
      Tuesday, and we pulled back on Wednesday, had an inside day.
    • 00:00:34
      So on Thursday, we're looking for the VIX to close below 13.
    • 00:00:37
      21 to put us back on a bullish footing.
    • 00:00:40
      We still have the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 on buy signals.
    • 00:00:44
      They recovered nicely on Wednesday, but
    • 00:00:47
      still pretty close to generating a daily sell signal, so we should be on guard.
    • 00:00:53
      Looking at the Canadian market, the market
    • 00:00:55
      recovered quite nicely on Wednesday, not enough to give us new buy signals for the
    • 00:00:59
      The TSX, the TSX 60, mid-caps, small-caps, or micro-caps.
    • 00:01:05
      Now, looking at the sector performance
    • 00:01:07
      from Wednesday's trading action, all sectors were positive for the day, being
    • 00:01:12
      led higher by Infotec, and We're still on a sell signal here.
    • 00:01:16
      We came down hard on Tuesday, and we did trade back into the channel on Wednesday.
    • 00:01:21
      The biggest winners in the sector on Wednesday were Bitfarm and Hut8.
    • 00:01:26
      Those were the two best-performing Infotec stocks.
    • 00:01:30
      Then looking at the industrials, dipped into the channel on Tuesday.
    • 00:01:34
      Big recovery on Wednesday,
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      being led higher by the railroads, still both on buy signals.
    • 00:01:40
      Then looking at consumer staples, huge update there.
    • 00:01:43
      It was Circle K led the pack, followed by
    • 00:01:46
      Loblaw's, which is back on a buy signal as of Wednesday's close.
    • 00:01:51
      Looking at the world of commodities,
    • 00:01:53
      starting in the energy sector, we saw crude oil pull back yesterday.
    • 00:01:56
      It's pulling back again in the pre-market.
    • 00:01:59
      Not enough to It's going to give us a sell signal today.
    • 00:02:01
      And then we've got natural gas making a new low on Wednesday.
    • 00:02:05
      So both of those commodities did not help
    • 00:02:08
      the energy sector, and we did have an inside day closed unchanged on the day.
    • 00:02:13
      So for the energy ETF, we're looking for a close on Thursday below $15.
    • 00:02:19
      14.
    • 00:02:20
      Then looking at the miners, starting with the price of gold.
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      Gold is trying to hold 2000 here.
    • 00:02:27
      If we break that, then 1937.
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      50 would be our next target to the downside.
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      And silver is trying to hold $22 and traded and closed higher yesterday.
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      Still on a sell signal, no change there.
    • 00:02:39
      No change for gold stocks, which made a
    • 00:02:42
      new low yesterday, and the ETF closed down just a penny on the day.
    • 00:02:46
      So a little bit of a recovery there.
    • 00:02:48
      The first time something new is happening, of course, if we close above the previous
    • 00:02:52
      day's high, and we certainly didn't do that yesterday.
    • 00:02:56
      Okay, folks, that's all for this morning's presentation.
    • 00:02:59
      I'm doing this ahead of the big economic numbers coming out at 8:30 this morning,
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      and they could certainly change the direction of the market.
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      But so far, it looks like the market wants
    • 00:03:08
      to have a positive open on Thursday morning.
    • 00:03:12
      Enjoy the rest of your day.
    • 00:03:13
      Next time you'll hear my voice is on Friday morning.

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