Stock Market Trends- 09122023
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    • 00:00:00
      Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Tuesday Morning.
    • 00:00:03
      It's Stephen Whiteside here from the
    • 00:00:04
      uptrend.com in the pre market this morning, things are fairly quiet.
    • 00:00:08
      Stock index futures are slightly below fair value, being led lower by the Nasdaq.
    • 00:00:13
      In the world of commodities, things are mixed.
    • 00:00:16
      Crude oil and natural gas are up slightly,
    • 00:00:18
      while we've got Gold down $11 in the pre market on Tuesday morning.
    • 00:00:23
      Now, we don't have any major comic numbers coming out this morning.
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      Unlike the rest of the week.
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      The VIX had an inside day on Monday, so
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      we're looking for a close above $15.19 to give us a buy signal on Tuesday.
    • 00:00:36
      That, of course, would be negative for stocks.
    • 00:00:39
      Lot of news out regarding Apple on Monday, but didn't really move the stock much.
    • 00:00:43
      They're still trying to close that open gap.
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      We are up another dollar in the pre market.
    • 00:00:49
      Last time I checked, Monday was all about Tesla.
    • 00:00:52
      Tesla, I guess, got an upgrade on old news, but there it is popping higher, and
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      that helped lead the Nasdaq higher yesterday.
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      Looking at big cap tech stocks, we've got
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      Amazon trading up sharply yesterday, up to the previous high.
    • 00:01:06
      Now, our mathematical target was 143 75.
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      We got as high as 143 62.
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      Is that significant?
    • 00:01:15
      Well, the previous high was 143 63.
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      So hopefully you had an order in just
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      below that level, and it got filled on Monday.
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      So congratulations. Looking at meta.
    • 00:01:26
      Meta was up yesterday, coming up to the 312 50 level.
    • 00:01:29
      Microsoft was up on Monday.
    • 00:01:31
      No change there.
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      Big move up for BlackBerry on Monday.
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      And this will probably scare a lot of
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      investors to just not just trade and not follow BlackBerry anymore.
    • 00:01:44
      We had a huge move down last week.
    • 00:01:45
      Now another huge move up this week.
    • 00:01:47
      Not enough to give us a buy signal on the TSX.
    • 00:01:50
      We're still looking for a close on Tuesday above $7.17. Shopify was up yesterday, so
    • 00:01:57
      still closing above the upper channel line.
    • 00:01:59
      No change there.
    • 00:02:01
      What didn't work on Monday?
    • 00:02:02
      Well, Nvidia was down.
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      It's still on a sell signal. No change there.
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      And we still have semiconductors on a sell signal.
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      Starting to break down below last week's low.
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      Now in the pre market this morning, Oracle is in the news and it made a new high for
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      this move yesterday, up challenging the previous high.
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      But in the pre market this morning, we're
    • 00:02:24
      trading off sharply, trading down here at 114 and change level.
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      So we'll have to see how the market deals with it when the market opens.
    • 00:02:34
      Looking at the rest of the major index ETFs, we've got the Dow trading higher
    • 00:02:38
      yesterday, not enough to give us a buy signal.
    • 00:02:41
      We still have the S&P 500 on a buy signal.
    • 00:02:44
      The ishares for the TSX 60. No joy.
    • 00:02:47
      They were up yesterday, not enough to give us a buy signal.
    • 00:02:50
      That would change on Tuesday with a close
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      above $30.64. Now, what really worked on monday were the
    • 00:02:57
      marijuana stocks and starting off with the ETFs, the alternative Harvest ETF was up
    • 00:03:02
      over 17%, while the Horizon's Marijuana Life ETF was up over 8% on the day.
    • 00:03:10
      Now, looking at the stockhouse bullboards, you can see the two most popular stocks
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      that traders there follow is Tilray and Canopy Growth, and they ended up being two
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      of the most actively traded stocks on Monday.
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      Tilray in New York is up testing last week's high.
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      Our next mathematical target is 352.
    • 00:03:30
      If you want higher targets, you can go take a look at the weekly charts.
    • 00:03:34
      If we look at Canopy Growth, which I
    • 00:03:36
      believe was the most actively traded stock on the TSX on Monday, was up over 81% on
    • 00:03:42
      the day, and you certainly don't see that very often.
    • 00:03:45
      Our next two targets were 156 and 195 and then 234.
    • 00:03:52
      We hit 234 yesterday and pulled back slightly.
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      If we can take that out, then 273 is our next target on Tuesday.
    • 00:03:59
      And then CureaLeaf Holdings was up nicely
    • 00:04:02
      yesterday, up over 13%, heading towards 742.
    • 00:04:07
      That's our next target. We got as high as 732 on Monday.
    • 00:04:12
      Let's finish off this morning's
    • 00:04:13
      presentation taking a look at the world of commodities.
    • 00:04:16
      Starting with the energy sector.
    • 00:04:18
      Both crude oil and natural gas had a small
    • 00:04:21
      pullback on Monday, unlike the stocks, which were hit a lot harder.
    • 00:04:25
      Looking at the XEG in Toronto, you can see
    • 00:04:28
      we traded it down to the lower channel line yesterday, so a close below
    • 00:04:32
      yesterday's low on Tuesday would give us a sell signal.
    • 00:04:35
      A little more room to go for the XLE in New York.
    • 00:04:38
      We're closing at the upper channel line now on the TSX, the most actively traded
    • 00:04:44
      energy stock on Monday was Canadian Natural Resources, trading down to the
    • 00:04:48
      lower channel line and closing just below it.
    • 00:04:51
      So we're back on a sell signal for Canadian Natural Resources, unlike Suncor,
    • 00:04:56
      which traded down to the lower channel line yesterday, so a close below
    • 00:04:59
      yesterday's low would give us a sell signal on Tuesday.
    • 00:05:02
      In New York, ConocoPhillips traded down to
    • 00:05:04
      the lower channel line, so looking for a close below 119.
    • 00:05:07
      60. And diamondback also traded down to the
    • 00:05:10
      lower channel line, looking for close on Tuesday below 151.
    • 00:05:15
      80.
    • 00:05:16
      Then looking at gold and silver.
    • 00:05:19
      Starting with the price of gold, we were up 4.50 yesterday.
    • 00:05:23
      We're down $9 - $10 in the pre market this morning, so no joy.
    • 00:05:26
      There certainly no joy for the price of silver.
    • 00:05:30
      And then we don't have any buy signals for the major gold and silver ETFs.
    • 00:05:35
      Whether you're looking at the GDX gold miners ETF we traded up into the channel
    • 00:05:40
      yesterday, a close above 29.04 would give us a buy signal on Tuesday.
    • 00:05:44
      Looking in Toronto for the XGD, we're looking for a close above $17.11, and then
    • 00:05:51
      looking at the silver miners closing at the lower channel line.
    • 00:05:54
      So not expecting a potential buy signal on Tuesday, we would need a close above 25.
    • 00:06:01
      98. Not expecting that to happen.
    • 00:06:03
      Now, the most actively traded gold stock
    • 00:06:05
      on the TSX was B2Gold closing right at the upper channel line.
    • 00:06:10
      So any higher close on Tuesday would give us a buy signal.
    • 00:06:13
      Kinross was the next most actively traded stock on the TSX inside day yesterday.
    • 00:06:18
      No change in trend. Of course.
    • 00:06:20
      In New York, the biggest gold miner in the US is Newmont.
    • 00:06:24
      It traded up into the channel, so looking for a close above 39 30.
    • 00:06:29
      Now B two gold and Kinross are also the most actively traded stocks in the US.
    • 00:06:34
      Followed by Barrick in New York.
    • 00:06:36
      We need a close above $16.15 to give us a buy signal on Tuesday.
    • 00:06:40
      Not expecting that to happen.
    • 00:06:43
      Okay, folks, that is all for Tuesday morning.
    • 00:06:46
      Stock index futures are still slightly below fair value, so so far it does not
    • 00:06:50
      look like we're going to see a lot of buying at the open on Tuesday morning.
    • 00:06:53
      Have a great day.
    • 00:06:54
      Next time you'll hear my voice is on Wednesday morning.

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