-
00:00:00Good morning everyone, and welcome to Thursday morning.
-
00:00:02It's Stephen Whiteside here
-
00:00:04from TheUptrend.com with today's look at north American Stock Market Trends.
-
00:00:08In the premarket this morning, stock index futures are above fair value.
-
00:00:12Nasdaq is leading the market higher
-
00:00:14on Thursday morning, trading up around 1%, while the VIX is down around 1%.
-
00:00:19And commodities are also trading lower on Thursday morning.
-
00:00:23Let's start off this morning's presentation.
-
00:00:25Taking a look at the US market.
-
00:00:27And the VIX closed lower yesterday, down over 4%.
-
00:00:31It's down another 1% in the pre market
-
00:00:34this morning, so there's certainly the possibility
-
00:00:36of a sell signal for the VIX on Thursday with a close below 28.40.
-
00:00:41Now we're still waiting for buy signals for the major index ETFs.
-
00:00:46For the Dow Diamonds, we're looking for close above 312.36. For the SPDR ETF.
-
00:00:51For the S&P 500, we're looking for a close
-
00:00:54above 385.51. For the QQQ's for the Nasdaq, we're looking for a close
-
00:00:58above 288.41 on Thursday, and that could certainly happen.
-
00:01:03Not expecting any trend changes for the
-
00:01:05iShares for the Russell 2000, or the iShares for the Microcap sector.
-
00:01:11Now, the energy sector was once again
-
00:01:13the big drag on the market on Wednesday, with the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
-
00:01:17down 4%, giving up the gains it made on Tuesday.
-
00:01:21And within the
-
00:01:24S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services was the big loser, down over 6% on the day.
-
00:01:28What worked on Wednesday, real estate stocks moved up and they traded up
-
00:01:32to the upper channel line, filled the first open gap.
-
00:01:35So a close above 40.72 would give us a buy signal on Thursday.
-
00:01:40And then healthcare moved up,
-
00:01:42not enough to give us a buy signal, closing just below the lower channel line.
-
00:01:46And within healthcare, of course, you've got biotech stocks,
-
00:01:49second day of a buy signal there, and first day of a buy signal
-
00:01:52for pharmaceuticals. Yesterday. We were looking at a couple of stocks.
-
00:01:57Meta continued to trade lower yesterday, making a new low for this move.
-
00:02:02And Tesla pulled back, closing within the channel.
-
00:02:05It is trading up today.
-
00:02:06So there's certainly a possibility
-
00:02:08that Tesla would close above the upper channel line on Thursday,
-
00:02:12giving us that second close above the upper channel line.
-
00:02:16Moving on to the Canadian market, and this isn't going to look pretty.
-
00:02:19We've got energy stocks down over 5%
-
00:02:22yesterday, making a new low for this move, starting to dip below last week's low.
-
00:02:28The TSX large caps, mid caps, small caps,
-
00:02:32and micro caps are all holding last week's lows so far.
-
00:02:35If commodities continue to move lower on Thursday, that could change.
-
00:02:40The financial sector moved down yesterday, bank stocks moved down.
-
00:02:45Gold stocks closed lower on the day, but you wouldn't really notice.
-
00:02:48We're still in the channel now.
-
00:02:50Gold is down $11 and change in the pre market this morning,
-
00:02:53so I'm not expecting anything from the gold sector on Thursday.
-
00:02:57We saw a new loafer base metals,
-
00:02:59a new loafer materials and industrials ended the day in the channel.
-
00:03:04So there's certainly a possibility
-
00:03:05for a buy signal for the industrial sector on Thursday.
-
00:03:09And we saw the railroads move up
-
00:03:12yesterday, so close above 341.09 would give us a buy signal on Thursday.
-
00:03:17And we've got the Nasdaq trading up in the Premarket this morning.
-
00:03:21So certainly there's a possibility
-
00:03:22for a buy signal in the infotech sector on Thursday.
-
00:03:28And last up, telecom stocks they popped the other day,
-
00:03:31with Shaw and Rogers moving up, those gains are starting to dissipate.
-
00:03:35So this sector is starting to settle down and still on a sell signal.
-
00:03:40Not expecting a change on Thursday.
-
00:03:43Moving on to commodities.
-
00:03:45And the big story outside of energy is copper continuing to move lower.
-
00:03:50And as a global economic barometer, it's not going in the right direction.
-
00:03:54Gold still trading in the channel.
-
00:03:56Silver is still in the channel.
-
00:03:58That could change on Thursday as we're
-
00:04:00seeing some selling in the pre market this morning.
-
00:04:03Then looking at the energies, we saw crude oil continue to move lower yesterday.
-
00:04:08Gasoline closed slightly lower on the day,
-
00:04:11and then natural gas had a fairly quiet day on Wednesday.
-
00:04:15Let's finish off today's presentation with Bitcoin and ethereum.
-
00:04:19Inside day for Bitcoin, inside day for ethereum.
-
00:04:22So nothing going on there on Thursday morning.
-
00:04:26Okay, folks, that is all for today's presentation.
-
00:04:28Expecting to see some buying at the open on Thursday morning.
-
00:04:32Whether it's enough to give us new buy
-
00:04:34signals or not, that is yet to be determined.
-
00:04:37Have a great day.
-
00:04:37Next time you'll hear my voice is on Friday morning.