Stock Market Timing Television - 07122023
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    • 00:00:00
      Good morning everyone, and welcome to Wednesday Morning.
    • 00:00:03
      It's Stephen Whiteside here from The
    • 00:00:04
      UpTrend.com. I'm sorry I missed you yesterday morning.
    • 00:00:07
      I started working on the presentation but
    • 00:00:09
      I just had a massive headache and I couldn't really see the screen.
    • 00:00:12
      So hey, I just went back to bed.
    • 00:00:15
      So sorry about that.
    • 00:00:16
      In the pre market this morning, things are fairly quiet.
    • 00:00:19
      We're waiting for CPI numbers to come out at 8:30 this morning and then we're also
    • 00:00:23
      going to get Ed Energy inventories at 10:30 this morning.
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      So a couple of things that could add to the volatility of the market.
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      The VIX has pulled back over the past
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      couple of days looking for a close on Wednesday below $14.
    • 00:00:37
      We found resistance at 15.63, put in a lower high, which could be bullish for the
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      stock market if we start moving down from here.
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      And of course, 12.50 is a major area of potential support.
    • 00:00:51
      US dollar index continued to move lower yesterday.
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      That may help the commodities this week.
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      Then we saw a pullback in bond yields on
    • 00:01:01
      Tuesday and that trend could continue, which could support higher stock prices.
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      Now the price of gold is traded up to the
    • 00:01:09
      upper channel line, so certainly a potential of a buy signal on Wednesday.
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      We've got gold stocks in the US sitting
    • 00:01:17
      right on the upper channel line, closing $0.04 above it.
    • 00:01:21
      So that is a buy signal for the GDX.
    • 00:01:25
      Still waiting for a buy signal for the Ishares for the Global Gold Index.
    • 00:01:30
      Then looking at the price of silver
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      sitting right below the upper channel line.
    • 00:01:34
      Silver stock, similar situation as you can see.
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      Depending on which way the market goes on
    • 00:01:41
      Wednesday, we may have a bunch of new buy signals to deal with on Thursday morning.
    • 00:01:46
      Not in the energy sector though, which is breaking out to a new high.
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      Looking at the price of crude oil, natural gas is back up in the channel looking for
    • 00:01:54
      a close above 273 to give us a buy signal on Wednesday.
    • 00:01:58
      There's Canadian energy stocks, there's US
    • 00:02:01
      energy stocks both breaking out above the June highs.
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      So that looks fairly bullish.
    • 00:02:06
      Then US Financial is making a new high for
    • 00:02:08
      this move and it's a pretty bullish chart, but it does have a lot to do with the big
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      banks or the little banks or the broker dealers.
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      It has much more to do with insurance companies right now.
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      And there's Prudential making a new high for this move.
    • 00:02:22
      Compare that chart to Citigroup and you can see who's beating who.
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      Looking at Canadian financials and
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      Canadian banks, things are looking pretty neutral right now.
    • 00:02:34
      The best performing Canadian bank is the TD bank.
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      We are seeing some selling in the insurance sector.
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      We've got Sun Life back on a sell signal,
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      joining Manulife, already on a sell signal.
    • 00:02:45
      Now Apple is back on a sell signal as of
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      Tuesday's close, joining Amazon, already on a sell signal.
    • 00:02:53
      Meta still on a buy signal.
    • 00:02:54
      No change there no change for Google or Alphabet.
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      Making a new low for this move on Tuesday.
    • 00:03:00
      We also made a new low for Microsoft on Tuesday.
    • 00:03:03
      Now Microsoft of course is in that battle
    • 00:03:06
      to buy Activision Blizzard, which got some positive news yesterday.
    • 00:03:11
      So that stock shot higher over 10%.
    • 00:03:15
      Also taking up Electronic Arts which was up over 5% on the day.
    • 00:03:19
      Then looking at Nvidia, we're still treading water up here.
    • 00:03:22
      Very quiet day on Tuesday.
    • 00:03:25
      We also had a very quiet day for Tesla.
    • 00:03:27
      Still trading in the channel, having an inside day or a day of indecision.
    • 00:03:32
      Now looking at the Ishares for the TSX 60.
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      We're on a sell signal right now that did not change.
    • 00:03:37
      The Dow Diamonds back on a buy signal, joining the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq and the
    • 00:03:42
      Semiconductors all still on buy signals, so no change there.
    • 00:03:47
      Okay folks, that is all for this morning's presentation.
    • 00:03:50
      It's very quiet out there ahead of the CPI numbers.
    • 00:03:53
      And then of course after the CPI numbers on Thursday, we get the PPI numbers.
    • 00:03:57
      So consumer inflation, then producer inflation.
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      Those two numbers should add to the
    • 00:04:04
      volatility that we're going to see in the market this week.
    • 00:04:07
      Enjoy the rest of your day.
    • 00:04:09
      Next time you'll hear my voice is on Thursday morning.

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