The Magnificent Seven Stocks 10262023
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    • 00:00:00
      Hello, everyone, and welcome to Thursday morning.
    • 00:00:02
      It's Stephen Whiteside here from theuptrend.com.
    • 00:00:06
      In the premarket this morning, stock index
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      futures are down across the board and around the world.
    • 00:00:12
      That could possibly change at 8:30 this morning.
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      There's a whole bunch of economic numbers
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      coming out, but I find that unlikely this morning.
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      But we'll just have to wait and see how the market reacts.
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      A one stock that is not part of the
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      Magnificent Seven that is out in the premarket is UPS.
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      UPS was coming into today's trading action, making a new low yesterday.
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      It's down another three and a half % in the premarket.
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      And of course, UPS is part of the transports and the Dow Transports were
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      down sharply yesterday, also making a new low.
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      Now, 2023 has been the year of AI.
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      Typically, when a CEO has mentioned AI in
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      their call, it's usually helped their stock.
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      It may have helped Microsoft, certainly didn't help Alphabet.
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      But yeah, there's something I saw off a CMBC yesterday that
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      between the two of them, they mentioned AI 145 times during their calls.
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      Now, the Magnificent Seven stocks are in
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      the Nasdaq 100, and that's been able to hold the Nasdaq up fairly well in 2023.
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      It's currently still up over 30 % for the year.
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      Now, the Magnificent Seven have not been the best performing stocks of 2023, but
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      because of their size and performance, they've been able to hold the Nasdaq up.
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      Compare that to the Russell 2000, which is currently down over six %, and the TSX,
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      even with the added performance of the energy sector, the TSX is down 2.25 % year
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      to date coming into Thursday's trading action.
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      Now, we're going to walk through these charts fairly quickly.
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      Two of the seven are still performing fairly well.
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      The rest of them are heading lower.
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      Here's the Nasdaq-100, you can see the last early warning signal.
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      We had an early warning signal here.
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      We drove down, pressure's on form.
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      That is the time and place you look for a buy signal.
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      We drove up.
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      Unfortunately, early warning signal came back down.
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      Now, what we were looking to see was, does
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      the Nasdaq-100 make a new lower-low for this move?
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      Not for 2023, but just for this move.
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      If it starts to break down below the
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      Flypaper channel, that would be very bearish.
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      Here we are making a lower-low yesterday, starting to break down, but we haven't
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      broken away from the Flypaper channel just yet.
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      Our next mathematical target for the triple Qs are 343.75 is our next target.
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      That comes in line with the 200-day moving average.
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      The financial world will be watching that very closely.
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      Now, you can see the last time we had a bearish reversal signal.
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      We ask you to watch these signals closely.
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      They don't always work.
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      But if you're going to line that up with an early warning signal on the Panic Zone
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      chart, it's probably the time and place to at least stop buying.
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      A bearish reversal signal does not generate a sell signal
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      or bearish engulfment signal does not generate a sell signal, but it should be
    • 00:03:07
      enough to just stop you from buying and looking for selling opportunities.
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      You're coming into Thursday's trading action.
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      You're either short the queues or long the
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      bear ETFs, so you should be making lots of money on Thursday.
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      Now, the Magnificent Seven contains these stocks.
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      We'll walk through them as quickly as possible, starting off with Alphabet.
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      There's the early warning signal at the top of the screen.
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      It actually struggled to move up on
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      Wednesday, excuse me, and traded right up to the upper channel line.
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      Then yesterday, just gapped down sharply.
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      We were looking to see if the recent low would act as support.
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      Guess what? We cut right through that and we're
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      starting to move down below the bottom of the Flypaper channel.
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      Of course, we're looking to see if the 200 day moving average is going to hold us.
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      There's a nice open gap over there to the
    • 00:03:59
      left and you can see that that open gap, the bottom of it is at the 123.69 level.
    • 00:04:06
      That could be a potential target and area of support.
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      If that doesn't hold, of course, 118.75 is going to be our next target.
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      Next up, we're looking at Amazon.
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      Amazon struggled.
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      We had the early warning signal.
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      We had the decline.
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      Pressure Zone started to form.
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      We started to move up that the open gap was a potential area of resistance.
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      Guess what? That's what it ended up being.
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      And so now we're coming down.
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      And did the recent low hold?
    • 00:04:33
      Nope, we broke that yesterday.
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      Amazon struggled to move up above the FlyPaper channel.
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      We call the FlyPaper channel because we expect stocks to get stuck there.
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      And here we are coming down, making a new
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      low on Wednesday, hitting the 200 day moving average.
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      If you look down to the left there, you'll see a nice open gap way down there.
    • 00:04:54
      I don't know if we're going to get that
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      far, but you only worry about gaps if they're in front of you.
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      So if the stock is going down, if there's a gap above you, doesn't matter.
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      If the stock is going up and there's a gap below you, doesn't matter.
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      It only matters when it's ahead of you.
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      Here we are, mathematically speaking, our next target is 118.75 and then 112.50.
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      I'm not going to talk about any potential buy signals today.
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      It's just not the day to do that.
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      Then Apple, well, Apple had an early
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      warning signal there at the top of the screen.
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      We're coming down.
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      There has not been aggressive selling.
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      Earnings come out next week, maybe
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      investors are waiting to for those earnings to come out.
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      The next big tell, of course, is going to be if we can hold the recent low from
    • 00:05:39
      September at the other end, what are you looking at here?
    • 00:05:42
      You're looking at a high, lower, high, lower, high, and...
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      And now the recent rally
    • 00:05:46
      struggled and could not get out of the Flypaper channel.
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      So that is a bearish sign.
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      We are sitting on the 200 day moving average.
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      You can see there's an open gap below us,
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      not too far below us, but at 167.04, that could be a potential target.
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      And if we break down below that open gap, then 162.50 would be our next target.
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      And again, no reason to talk about potential buy signals on Thursday.
    • 00:06:11
      Looking at Meta, Meta coming off the top of the Panic Zones there, you see the
    • 00:06:16
      early warning signal, but the stock is still holding up incredibly well.
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      The FlyPaper channel has done what it's supposed to do, which in a bullish
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      situation, people are going to be willing to buy the dips.
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      That has been happening over the past couple of months, August, September.
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      Now we're into October.
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      Does that continue or do we break down from here?
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      Now looking at moving averages, we're just sitting at the 50 day.
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      The 100 and the 200 day are below us and
    • 00:06:44
      the 200 day is way down there just above 250.
    • 00:06:48
      Now looking at our price targets, you can
    • 00:06:50
      see that we're far away from that 200 day moving average.
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      It's going to take a lot of selling to get down from here.
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      You can see that in August, we traded below the 281.25 level.
    • 00:07:03
      That could certainly be a reasonable
    • 00:07:04
      target if the market wants to continue to stay bullish on Meta.
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      The pros are just about to give up control on the stock.
    • 00:07:13
      We'll just have to wait and see if that continues.
    • 00:07:15
      What we're seeing in the premarket this
    • 00:07:17
      morning is Meta trading down $9.10 in the premarket down towards the 290 level.
    • 00:07:24
      Now looking at Microsoft, Microsoft is still on a buy signal right now.
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      We came into yesterday's trading action on a buy signal.
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      We've been there for a few weeks.
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      If you were looking at price targets, if
    • 00:07:36
      you were long Microsoft going into yesterday's trading action, you had an
    • 00:07:41
      order up there at the 343.75 area andtoching.
    • 00:07:45
      It got filled yesterday, so congratulations.
    • 00:07:48
      That might be as high as Microsoft can go for this particular move.
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      We saw it pull back in today, and wouldn't
    • 00:07:56
      be surprised if it continued to pull back on Thursday.
    • 00:07:59
      Last up, Tesla. Tesla.
    • 00:08:02
      You'll look across the top of the screen, you'll see a series of lower highs.
    • 00:08:05
      Then we were looking to see if the recent low in September was going to hold.
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      That didn't.
    • 00:08:10
      We were also looking at this nice triangle.
    • 00:08:13
      It was looking, it could go either way, but it went to the downside.
    • 00:08:17
      The August low did not hold.
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      That's bearish.
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      We're looking for lower prices from here.
    • 00:08:24
      Looking at our price target chart, if
    • 00:08:25
      you're shorting Tesla, you want to take some money off the table at 187.50, and
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      then have another order in at 156.25. As I always say, when you're
    • 00:08:36
      shorting or long a stock, you want to take profits at the price targets.
    • 00:08:40
      At the same time, you don't want to completely liquidate a position.
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      Tesla is already on a sell signal, of course.
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      Now, I would normally tell you that we'd get a buy signal if we had a close on
    • 00:08:52
      Thursday above 2:39.38. That's highly unlikely to happen today.
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      There's a nice open gap on the way up.
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      And, of course, years, we're already heading in the wrong direction.
    • 00:09:02
      And, of course, that upper channel line is going to continue to move lower daily.
    • 00:09:07
      Okay, folks, that is all for this morning's presentation.
    • 00:09:10
      Looking for some selling at the open on Thursday morning.
    • 00:09:13
      Unless those economic numbers coming out
    • 00:09:16
      at 8:30 this morning totally shock the market.
    • 00:09:19
      That's probably not going to be the case, but it could happen.
    • 00:09:22
      There is always a mathematical probability
    • 00:09:25
      that the strangest things could happen, highly unlikely.
    • 00:09:28
      But yeah, it's possible.
    • 00:09:30
      Have a great day, folks.
    • 00:09:31
      Next time you'll hear my voice is on Friday morning.
    • 00:09:33
      And on Friday morning, I have a blood donors appointment.
    • 00:09:37
      I hope you have a blood donors appointment booked in the not so distant future.

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