-
00:00:00Good morning everyone, and welcome to Thursday Morning.
-
00:00:03It's Stephen Whiteside here from the uptrend.com in the pre market this
-
00:00:07morning, stock index futures are trading above fair value.
-
00:00:10Commodities are mixed with crude oil
-
00:00:12higher, while gold is lower on Thursday morning.
-
00:00:15Now, at the time of this video, we're still waiting for economic numbers to come
-
00:00:19out at 830, and that could certainly add to the pre market volatility.
-
00:00:24Now, as expected, fear has been falling this week.
-
00:00:27We are coming up to month end, which is today.
-
00:00:30We're also coming up to a three day long weekend.
-
00:00:32Both of those usually give the market a
-
00:00:35bullish bias, so we've seen the VIX pulling back over the past couple of days.
-
00:00:40That's bullish for the market.
-
00:00:41We've seen the US dollar index pull back.
-
00:00:43That's bullish for the market and we've seen bond yields pull back.
-
00:00:47That, of course, is bullish for the market.
-
00:00:50Looking at the TSX, we've traded up through an open gap.
-
00:00:54Now we're coming up to resistance at 30.
-
00:00:5786 on the XIU.
-
00:01:00If we can take that out, then it's a run up to 31.
-
00:01:0325, which we failed at back in July.
-
00:01:06So just be aware of that.
-
00:01:08We are coming up to resistance then.
-
00:01:10Looking at the Dow Diamonds, we're looking at 351.
-
00:01:1456.
-
00:01:15We should be able to hit that today.
-
00:01:17Looking at the SPY, we're coming up to 453.
-
00:01:2113 and notice that that is also the bottom of an open gap from back in July.
-
00:01:27So that could act as resistance then.
-
00:01:31For the queues, we are trading, currently
-
00:01:33trading above the 375 level in the pre market this morning, so looking to see if
-
00:01:38we can take a run back to the high from July.
-
00:01:41If we can take that out, then 390.
-
00:01:4363 would be our next mathematical target.
-
00:01:46The semiconductors are stalled here at 212.
-
00:01:4950. We've seen money come back into Nvidia
-
00:01:52this week, running back up to the recent high.
-
00:01:55We haven't seen a lot of money come back into Advanced Micro Devices just yet.
-
00:01:59So a lot of tech stocks have done well
-
00:02:02this week, including Apple, which has moved up to the bottom of an open gap.
-
00:02:06At the 187.50 level.
-
00:02:08We closed at 187.
-
00:02:1065.
-
00:02:11So our next move up is 193.
-
00:02:1375, but there's an open gap at 192. 37.
-
00:02:18The top of that open gap is at 192. 37.
-
00:02:21And so that is our next target to the upside for Apple.
-
00:02:26A lot of tech stocks not participating
-
00:02:28this week, but certainly not selling off either.
-
00:02:31Looking at Amazon, looking at Meta,
-
00:02:33looking at Microsoft, not really participating.
-
00:02:36Looking at Shopify, we've had a nice move up over the past couple of days.
-
00:02:40Where have we moved to? 81.
-
00:02:4225. We closed at 81.
-
00:02:4421 yesterday with a high of 81. 23.
-
00:02:48So just two cent away from our price target.
-
00:02:51If we can take that out, then 87.
-
00:02:5350 comes into play.
-
00:02:56Let's finish off this morning's
-
00:02:57presentation, taking a look at commodities.
-
00:02:59And we've seen money move back into the energy sector this week.
-
00:03:03We've got crude oil back on a buy signal.
-
00:03:06Nothing going on with gasoline at the
-
00:03:08moment, but we do have natural gas back on a buy signal.
-
00:03:11So with crude oil and natural gas moving
-
00:03:13up, we've seen a new high in Canadian energy stocks on Wednesday.
-
00:03:18And we've got US energy stocks back on a buy signal as of Wednesday's.
-
00:03:22Close.
-
00:03:23Now, we saw a little reversal in the metals yesterday.
-
00:03:27The GLD made a new high.
-
00:03:29It's coming up to 181.
-
00:03:3125 and the bottom of an open gap from back in July.
-
00:03:35And so we saw a small reversal yesterday.
-
00:03:38Still closed higher on the day, unlike
-
00:03:40silver, which is trading up towards the highs from back in July.
-
00:03:44Had a reversal day yesterday, giving us a bearish reversal signal.
-
00:03:48So that could be the start of something.
-
00:03:49We'll look to see if we get fall through to the downside on Thursday.
-
00:03:53Then looking at the miners themselves, the
-
00:03:55GDX had a small pullback, small pullback for the XGD, actually closing higher on
-
00:04:01the day, excuse me, by two cent, but did pull back from a new high.
-
00:04:05And we had a big reversal for the SIL,
-
00:04:08closing down two cent after making a new high.
-
00:04:11And then looking at copper miners, a similar situation.
-
00:04:14Not a big thrust to the upside yesterday, but we did see a small pullback and we
-
00:04:19closed down a penny on the day, so nothing conclusive there.
-
00:04:24Okay, folks, that is all for today's presentation.
-
00:04:27Wouldn't be surprised if the market traded higher today and tomorrow, but we'll have
-
00:04:31to see how the market reacts to those economic numbers coming out at 830 this
-
00:04:36morning and then we have some more numbers on Friday.
-
00:04:39Enjoy the rest of your day.
-
00:04:40Next time you'll hear my voice is on Friday morning.