Stock Market Timing Television - 04272023
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00:00:01Good Morning, everyone, and welcome to Thursday morning.
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00:00:03It's Stephen White side here from theuptrend.com.
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00:00:06In the premarket this morning, stock index
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00:00:08futures are above fair value across the board.
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00:00:11DOW futures currently up 137 points.
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00:00:14So far, it looks like we're going to see
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00:00:16some buying at the open on Thursday morning.
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00:00:19Now, I won't be in on Friday, but I will be back on the weekend.
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00:00:24Now, we are coming up to month end and
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00:00:26month end usually has a bullish bias to it.
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00:00:28That doesn't stop the market from falling,
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00:00:31but it usually cushions the market if it wants to go down.
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00:00:35Why do markets tend to go up at the end of the month?
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00:00:37Well, automatic money is going to come
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00:00:39into the market and traders don't usually like to trade against that automatic money
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00:00:44that usually goes into mutual funds and ETFs.
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00:00:48Now, yesterday morning, this time we knew Microsoft was going to spike at the open
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00:00:53and that our next price target to the upside if we took out the previous highs,
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00:00:57was 296.88. And that's just where we landed
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00:01:02and closed just below that level yesterday.
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00:01:05I didn't get over $300.
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00:01:07The high of the day was $299.57.
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00:01:10Now, we were already up at the top of the Panic Zone.
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00:01:12So when you see a new pop like this up at
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00:01:15these levels, it's not something I would want to chase unless, of course, I short
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00:01:20the stock and then I want to cover my short position.
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00:01:23But I don't necessarily want to go long up at these levels.
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00:01:27Now looking at Meta, Meta is also going to pop this morning.
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00:01:30We know that it's currently trading up at the 234 level.
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00:01:34You can see the differences between the price target lines here.
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00:01:40So you know that
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00:01:41the next price target is 237.50. So we're up just below that level this morning.
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00:01:47Again, we're starting at the top of the panic zones already, and this isn't
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00:01:52something I would want to chase if I was not already long meta at this time.
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00:01:58Now, looking at the Russell 2000, it
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00:02:00continued to move lower, so the rest of the market is going in one direction.
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00:02:04There's a handful of big cap stocks going in the other direction.
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00:02:08Now, Canadian small cap and microcap stocks had a nice run for a couple of
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00:02:13weeks, and that, of course, had a lot to do with interest in the mining sector.
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00:02:20Now, as we come into the end of April, we should go back and take a look at what we
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00:02:24were looking at back at the start of April.
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00:02:26On April fifth, I posted a video titled We Hit a Wall, and we were looking at areas
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00:02:32of the market that had run up to resistance and stopped.
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00:02:36One of the biggest ones, of course, was the Nasdaq 100 and the Nasdaq, both not
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00:02:41able to break out above resistance during the month of April.
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00:02:44Now we're starting to pull back down, even
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00:02:47though we've got some of these big cap tech stocks popping at the moment.
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00:02:52Now we're also looking at the Russell 2000
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00:02:54that ran up to 1812.50 and was unable to break out above that
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00:02:59level through the month of April, and now we've broken down below support.
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00:03:03That is also true of the DOW transports.
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00:03:05Now the DOW Transports did trade above the
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00:03:07early April highs, but they never really broke away from resistance.
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00:03:12Now, we've broken down and we've broken down below the March lows.
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00:03:16So that's not a good sign.
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00:03:18Now, some areas of the market that did
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00:03:20break out above resistance and that was the DOW, but the DOW has also come back
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00:03:25down and is trading below those April lows.
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00:03:28And the TSX 60, which had a lot of help
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00:03:32from the gold sector, ran up two lines above resistance.
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00:03:36So at the start of the month, we were
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00:03:37looking at 12, 1875 as a resistance, and then we broke out above
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00:03:43that, moved up two lines to 1250 back up to the highs from the start of the year.
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00:03:49Now, if we can take out the 1250 level,
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00:03:51then the 1265.53 level and the 1281.25 level will
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00:03:57come into play, but only if we can break out above the 1250 level.
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00:04:03Let's move on to the most actively traded
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00:04:05stocks from yesterday's trading action, starting off with First Republic.
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00:04:10If you were with us yesterday morning, I mentioned the stock would probably be down
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00:04:13another 30 % and ended the day down another 29.75 %.
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00:04:19Tesla continued to move lower.
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00:04:21It's broken down below the top of the open
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00:04:24gap heading towards 150 and then the bottom of that open gap.
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00:04:28If we take out the bottom of that gap,
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00:04:31then 125 would be our next mathematical target.
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00:04:33But also notice there's a gap just under that level as well.
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00:04:38So that could certainly be a target to the downside if we keep going from here.
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00:04:44Amazon's still on a buy signal, still long.
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00:04:47Amazon, no change there.
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00:04:48Microsoft, we talked about earlier.
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00:04:51Then we've got Marathon Digital trading up to the upper channel line, but then
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00:04:55retreating, going into the close, closing just below the lower channel line.
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00:04:59No joy for NIO, didn't take out the previous day's low.
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00:05:03That might be the start of something.
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00:05:05Then we've got Alphabet traded up to the
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00:05:07upper channel line but did not close above it.
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00:05:09Looking for a close above
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00:05:13106.42. Then we're looking at Ford, Ford trying to hold 1150.
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00:05:17Then looking at Activision, which had the big drop yesterday.
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00:05:21Now, this would be a losing trade if you
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00:05:23had have bought here when we had the last buy signal, if you had have held on and
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00:05:29not taken any profits, you would be looking at a losing trade.
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00:05:34Of course, what I try to teach people is to take profits along the way.
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00:05:38If you had an order in here at $ 81.25, it would have got filled at the open up here.
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00:05:44And so you would have been able to lock in some nice profits up at those levels.
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00:05:48And the fact that it dropped a lot
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00:05:50yesterday, if you hadn't been following what I teach, you would have only had a
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00:05:55partial position left and so you still would have made money on the trade.
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00:06:00Advanced Micro Devices, no joy there.
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00:06:02Still on a sell signal, a close above
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00:06:05$90.85 on Thursday would give us a buy signal.
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00:06:09Let's finish off today's presentation taking a look at the TSX most active.
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00:06:14Starting off with Cenovus, big down day for Cenovus.
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00:06:17Then we've got the Royal Bank, still on a buy signal.
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00:06:20It traded through the lower channel line
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00:06:22for the last two days but did not close below it.
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00:06:25So we're looking for a close on Thursday below 131.50 for 4.
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00:06:30Then we've got a new low for Suncor.
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00:06:33We've got Manulife still trading in the channel here for the last two days.
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00:06:38A close below 2572 would give us a sell signal on Thursday.
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00:06:42Second day of a sell signal for Athabasca Oil.
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00:06:45Then we've got Sandstorm Gold still on a
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00:06:48sell signal here that would change on Thursday with a close above
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00:06:54$8.04. Then we're looking at TC Energy still on a sell signal, no change there.
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00:06:58No change there, no change for HUT 8.
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00:07:01Looking for a close on Thursday above $2.56 to give us a buy signal.
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00:07:08Then Embered, still on a buy signal that
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00:07:10would change on Thursday with a close below 5303.
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00:07:14Then we're looking at the TD Bank, which was actually up two cents yesterday.
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00:07:19Td Bank would be back on a buy signal with
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00:07:21a close above 82.64. Okay, folks, that is all for this morning's presentation.
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00:07:27So far, it looks like we're going to see
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00:07:29some buying at the open on Thursday morning.
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00:07:32Have a great day.
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00:07:32Next time you'll hear my voice is on Sunday. you..