Stock Market Timing Television - 20230120.mp4
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    • 00:00:00
      Good morning everyone. Welcome to Friday morning.
    • 00:00:03
      In the premarket this morning we see Asian
    • 00:00:05
      markets closed higher overnight, we've got.
    • 00:00:07
      European markets trading higher this morning and.
    • 00:00:10
      We'Ve got stock index futures in North.
    • 00:00:12
      America trading slightly above fair value.
    • 00:00:15
      So so far it looks like we're going to have a quiet to a.
    • 00:00:18
      Positive opening at 930 Friday morning.
    • 00:00:22
      Lots of interesting stuff going on.
    • 00:00:24
      We've had a lot of after hours activity and I guess Netflix led that off.
    • 00:00:30
      Netflix reported after hours last night,
    • 00:00:33
      it traded down to the lower channel line yesterday but did not close below it.
    • 00:00:37
      So it's still on a buy signal here.
    • 00:00:39
      It is trading up nicely in the pre market
    • 00:00:41
      this morning, trading back up at the levels we saw a couple of days ago.
    • 00:00:46
      And so this stock has recently made a
    • 00:00:48
      higher high and it might be able to do that again today.
    • 00:00:52
      Our next mathematical target just above the recent highs is 343 75.
    • 00:00:59
      And so if you're still long Netflix, I'd
    • 00:01:00
      be wanting to take some money off the table up at that level.
    • 00:01:04
      Looking at the Dow, we talked about the Dow diamonds being back on a sell signal.
    • 00:01:08
      We also talked about the early warning signal at the top of the screen.
    • 00:01:11
      Now that is also true for the Dow Transports and the Dow Utilities.
    • 00:01:16
      Now speaking of after hours action, a couple of stocks announced layoffs today
    • 00:01:22
      and so we've got Alphabet laying a bunch of people off.
    • 00:01:25
      It is trading higher this morning, still on a buy signal.
    • 00:01:28
      Wayfair is also laying off a bunch of people and just like Netflix, we traded
    • 00:01:33
      down to the lower channel line yesterday, did not close below it.
    • 00:01:36
      We were down $2.13 at the close yesterday.
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      We're up $2.34 in the pre market this morning.
    • 00:01:44
      So we'll be up at the upper channel line at the open on Friday morning.
    • 00:01:49
      Now a lot of strange things have happened in the past few weeks.
    • 00:01:53
      Of course we've got a nice rally to start January off, but we're also seeing money
    • 00:01:57
      come out of consumer staples ahead of consumer discretionary.
    • 00:02:01
      Now the market has been acting as if the recession is already over, but.
    • 00:02:06
      At the same time you can see corporations
    • 00:02:08
      are acting as it is still coming such as Alphabet and Wayfair are continuing to lay
    • 00:02:14
      people off, that is ahead of the recession.
    • 00:02:18
      They're not doing that because the
    • 00:02:19
      recession is over and things are starting to turn around.
    • 00:02:22
      Now the metals have had a good week so far, so copper and gold both making new
    • 00:02:28
      highs this week and so that's helped the mining sector.
    • 00:02:31
      So the GDX is still in play here inside day yesterday, still on a buy signal.
    • 00:02:37
      Similar situation for the XEG, both still on buy signals here.
    • 00:02:42
      So no change there.
    • 00:02:44
      Now I've been waiting for the energy sector to come back.
    • 00:02:46
      We've got crude oil on a buy signal.
    • 00:02:49
      You can see that we recently put in a
    • 00:02:51
      higher low, and then we put in a higher high.
    • 00:02:54
      So that's a bullish sign for crude oil.
    • 00:02:57
      Unfortunately, we're not seeing that sort of action for natural gas at the moment.
    • 00:03:01
      Crude oil is trading up in the pre market
    • 00:03:03
      natural gas is trading down slightly in the pre market on Friday morning.
    • 00:03:08
      So the XLE is still on a buy signal here.
    • 00:03:12
      And the XEG is also still on a buy signal here.
    • 00:03:17
      So still looking for the energy sector to continue to move higher from here.
    • 00:03:22
      Now, the SPY ETF traded down to the lower channel line yesterday.
    • 00:03:25
      Still looking for a close on Friday below 388 49 to give us a sell signal.
    • 00:03:31
      Q's, traded back in the channel yesterday,
    • 00:03:33
      looking for a close below 271 77 on Friday.
    • 00:03:37
      And looking at the I shares for the TSX 60, we need a close below $30.0.57. Now
    • 00:03:45
      looking in the opposite direction, the VIX is still on a sell signal.
    • 00:03:48
      Traded up to the upper channel line
    • 00:03:50
      yesterday, looking for a close on Friday above 21.
    • 00:03:54
      48 to give us a buy signal.
    • 00:03:56
      And that, of course, would be negative for stocks.
    • 00:03:59
      Okay, folks, that is all for this morning's presentation.
    • 00:04:02
      Again, it looks like we're going to see a
    • 00:04:04
      little bit of buying at the open on Friday morning.
    • 00:04:07
      Enjoy the rest of your day.
    • 00:04:08
      Enjoy your weekend.
    • 00:04:10
      Next time you'll hear from us will be on Sunday.
    • 00:04:43
      Thank you.

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