Stock Market Timing 09222023
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    • 00:00:00
      Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Friday morning.
    • 00:00:03
      It's Stephen Whiteside here from theuptrend.com.
    • 00:00:06
      Well, in Thursday's trading action, not
    • 00:00:08
      only did we get a Tesla sell signal, we also got a Meta sell signal.
    • 00:00:12
      On Thursday, we saw a big spike in the VIX.
    • 00:00:15
      We also saw the US dollar make a new high,
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      and we saw all the bond yields pop yesterday.
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      That's probably not good for the economy
    • 00:00:24
      and possibly not good for the stock market either.
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      We'll just have to wait and see.
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      The DOW has traded back down to the August
    • 00:00:31
      lows, unlike the S&P 500, which broke through them yesterday.
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      Our next mathematical target is 421.88.
    • 00:00:40
      Then the Nasdaq is holding up a little better, still trading above the August
    • 00:00:44
      lows, unlike the semiconductors, which broke down a few days ago, the iShares for
    • 00:00:50
      the Russell 2000, microcap stocks all well below those August lows.
    • 00:00:56
      Then looking at the TSX, the iShares for the TSX 60 were down sharply, one of the
    • 00:01:01
      biggest drops we've seen in a long time for the TSX on Thursday.
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      We've got financials that rolled over.
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      One of the biggest reasons the TSX was down sharply yesterday, energy stocks,
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      second day of a sell signal, and then gold stocks traded down to the lower channel
    • 00:01:17
      line but did not generate a sell signal just yet.
    • 00:01:22
      Next up, let's take a look at the TSX most actives and a whole bunch of new sell
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      signals here, including for TC Energy, which joins Canadian Natural Resources,
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      which has been on a sell signal for over a week now.
    • 00:01:35
      Then PowerCorp came down and generated a sell signal.
    • 00:01:39
      Not a stock we usually see at the top of
    • 00:01:41
      the most active list, but notice the lower high here.
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      That's a bear sign going forward.
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      Cenovus, a second day of a sell signal for Cenovus .
    • 00:01:50
      TD Bank came down hard back on a sell signal.
    • 00:01:53
      Lundin Mining has been on a sell signal all week.
    • 00:01:56
      Then we've got Suncor back on a sell signal as of Thursday's close.
    • 00:02:01
      Then Bank of Nova Scotia came down hard yesterday back on a sell signal.
    • 00:02:05
      We've got Manulife Financial back on a sell signal.
    • 00:02:08
      I was talking about how well the insurance companies have done over the past month,
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      and that has come to an end as of Thursday's close.
    • 00:02:17
      Pembina Pipeline down hard yesterday.
    • 00:02:19
      It looks like it came down a lot, but it's only 1.82 %.
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      It's just the way this particular stock trades that makes it look like it was a
    • 00:02:30
      huge move down, but in percentage terms, not too bad.
    • 00:02:34
      Unlike Air Canada, which was down another
    • 00:02:36
      2.34 %, so Air Canada has been on a sell signal since the middle of July.
    • 00:02:42
      Let's finish off this morning's presentation, taking a look at the most
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      actively traded US stocks from Thursday's trading action, starting with Tesla.
    • 00:02:51
      Tesla back on a sell signal as of
    • 00:02:53
      Thursday's close, joining Palantir, which traded down to the August lows yesterday.
    • 00:02:59
      Then we had a big gap down for Amazon, which has now filled the open gap from
    • 00:03:03
      early August, and at the same time creating a new gap
    • 00:03:07
      that we'll have to deal with on the way back up.
    • 00:03:11
      Apple moved lower yesterday, still on a
    • 00:03:13
      sell signal here, trading slightly higher in the premarket this morning.
    • 00:03:17
      Then a new low for Advanced Micro Devices and a very bearish chart.
    • 00:03:21
      Since we peaked back in June, we've made a series of lower highs.
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      And so that is, of course, a very bearish chart pattern.
    • 00:03:29
      NIO has been on a sell signal since early August.
    • 00:03:32
      No change there.
    • 00:03:34
      A fairly quiet day for Intel yesterday compared to a lot of other stocks.
    • 00:03:39
      Nvidia made a new low for this move, still holding on to the August lows.
    • 00:03:44
      If those break, then 375 would be our next target.
    • 00:03:47
      Then 375 would take us down to the top of
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      an open gap, and the bottom of that gap is down here, the 3.12.50 area.
    • 00:03:56
      That would be quite a move down for not
    • 00:03:58
      only NVIDIA, butfor the overall stock market, if that were to happen.
    • 00:04:03
      Ford is back on a sell signal as of Thursday's close.
    • 00:04:06
      And then one of the DAO components, Cisco, gapping sharply lower yesterday.
    • 00:04:12
      And of course, we filled a gap yesterday so that is no longer in play and we can
    • 00:04:18
      continue to move lower from here on Friday.
    • 00:04:21
      Then American Airlines, just like Air Canada, has had a rough couple of months.
    • 00:04:25
      This sell signal started back in July.
    • 00:04:29
      And then last up, we're looking at Meta.
    • 00:04:31
      Meta is back on a sell signal, joining the rest of its big cap tech stock brothers.
    • 00:04:36
      And we're all back on the sell signal as of Thursday's close.
    • 00:04:41
      Okay, folks, that is all for this morning's presentation.
    • 00:04:44
      Have a great day.
    • 00:04:45
      Next time you'll hear my voice is on Monday morning.

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